Snapshot
- subject_area: Silver futures
- target_market_code: silver
- ticker: silver
- regime_state: unstable
- beliefs_count: 3
- top_risk_flag: momentum_cooling_post_burst
- generated_at: 2026-03-17T12:00:00Z
- sentiment_word: Bullish
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market |
belief_id |
claim |
prob |
dir |
vel |
horizon |
kill_switch |
fragility |
| silver |
B-silver-24h-001 |
Silver futures have a bullish bias over the next 24h, supported by safe-haven demand and interest-rate/real-rate expectation narratives. |
62 |
up |
stable |
24h |
false |
64 |
| silver |
B-silver-6h-002 |
Over the next 6h, silver sentiment remains net-positive but is cooling from a recent information burst; follow-through is less certain without fresh catalysts. |
57 |
up |
fading |
6h |
false |
64 |
| silver |
B-silver-risk-003 |
Reversal risk is elevated to medium because the bullish case is macro-driven and can flip quickly; legal/compliance seed risks add fragility but are low-confidence. |
55 |
mixed |
stable |
24h |
false |
64 |
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{
"workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
"snapshot_id": "6B_CIS_silver_20260317T120000Z",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-03-17T12:00:00Z",
"primary_asset_focus": {
"name": "Silver futures",
"market_code": "silver"
},
"headline_sentiment_word": "Bullish",
"headline_conviction_score_0_100": 65,
"headline_fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"commodity_registry": [
"crude_oil",
"gold",
"natural_gas",
"copper",
"silver",
"wheat",
"corn",
"uranium",
"lithium",
"coffee"
],
"target_market_code": "silver",
"target_resolution_source": "explicit",
"scope_mode": "single_market",
"analyzed_markets": [
"silver"
],
"regime_state": "unstable",
"beliefs": [
{
"belief_id": "B-silver-24h-001",
"market": "silver",
"claim": "Silver futures have a bullish bias over the next 24h, supported by safe-haven demand and interest-rate/real-rate expectation narratives.",
"probability_pct": 62,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "stable",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"safe-haven flows / precious-metals allocation",
"interest-rate expectations and real-rate sensitivity",
"precious-metals ETF/flows narrative",
"mining / supply-side developments (background)"
],
"contradicted_by": [
"USD strength re-assertion",
"real yields rising / hawkish policy repricing",
"risk-on swing reducing safe-haven demand"
]
},
{
"belief_id": "B-silver-6h-002",
"market": "silver",
"claim": "Over the next 6h, silver sentiment remains net-positive but is cooling from a recent information burst; follow-through is less certain without fresh catalysts.",
"probability_pct": 57,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "fading",
"horizon": "6h",
"drivers": [
"recent macro/safe-haven signal cluster (last ~6h)",
"COMEX/market microstructure attention (background)"
],
"contradicted_by": [
"late-breaking hawkish macro surprise",
"rapid USD bid / risk-on reversal"
]
},
{
"belief_id": "B-silver-risk-003",
"market": "silver",
"claim": "Reversal risk is elevated to medium because the bullish case is macro-driven and can flip quickly; legal/compliance seed risks add fragility but are low-confidence.",
"probability_pct": 55,
"direction": "mixed",
"velocity": "stable",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"macro sensitivity (USD + rates)",
"thin/seed-level risk anomalies (low-confidence)"
],
"contradicted_by": [
"no strong bearish counter-signal detected in admitted trend set"
]
}
],
"market_state_table": [
{
"market": "silver",
"directional_state": "bullish",
"momentum_state": "weakening",
"reversal_risk": "medium",
"state_change": "new_bullish",
"conviction_score_0_100": 65,
"freshness_confidence": "high",
"catalyst_type": "reversal_warning",
"stale_suppression_applied": false,
"thesis_kill_switch": false,
"late_breaking_alert": false,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"supporting_belief_ids": [
"B-silver-24h-001",
"B-silver-6h-002",
"B-silver-risk-003"
]
}
],
"risk_flags": [
{
"market": "silver",
"flag": "momentum_cooling_post_burst",
"severity": "medium",
"details": "Recent sentiment peak appears to have passed; absence of newer catalysts increases whipsaw risk."
},
{
"market": "silver",
"flag": "macro_dependency_usd_rates",
"severity": "medium",
"details": "Primary drivers are macro (USD/real rates/safe-haven). These can invert quickly on policy repricing."
},
{
"market": "silver",
"flag": "authority_mix_quality_risk",
"severity": "medium",
"details": "Signal corpus includes a meaningful low-authority share; conviction capped despite strong volume."
},
{
"market": "silver",
"flag": "seed_level_legal_risk_anomalies",
"severity": "low",
"details": "Very recent compliance-gap anomalies present but low-confidence and with non-materialised evidence; treated as fragility add-on, not directional."
}
],
"candidate_actions": [
{
"market": "silver",
"confidence": "medium",
"trigger_condition": "Maintain long-bias watch while directional_score_signed stays >= +20 and contradiction_ratio stays <= 0.25 over the next 6\u201324h."
},
{
"market": "silver",
"confidence": "medium",
"trigger_condition": "Reversal watch if directional_score_signed falls below +20 within any 2 consecutive hourly buckets OR if a fresh (<=2h) high-authority bearish macro signal appears."
},
{
"market": "silver",
"confidence": "medium",
"trigger_condition": "Volatility watch if contradiction_ratio rises above 0.30 or if additional risk anomalies cluster within a 2h window."
},
{
"market": "silver",
"confidence": "low",
"trigger_condition": "Stay-flat bias if net signal returns to neutral band (directional_score_signed between -20 and +20) with no fresh catalysts."
}
],
"paper_trade_signal_pack": {
"bullish_markets": [
"silver"
],
"bearish_markets": [],
"neutral_mixed_markets": [],
"high_reversal_risk_markets": []
},
"signal_timeseries": {
"resolution": "1h",
"lookback_hours": 24,
"bucket_timezone": "UTC",
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T12:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T13:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 8,
"bullish_pressure_score": 8,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 8,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.1,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 22,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T13:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T14:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 8,
"bullish_pressure_score": 8,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 8,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.1,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 22,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T14:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T15:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 8,
"bullish_pressure_score": 8,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 8,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.1,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 22,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T15:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T16:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 8,
"bullish_pressure_score": 8,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 8,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.1,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 22,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T16:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T17:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 7,
"bullish_pressure_score": 7,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 7,
"velocity_score": -1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.1,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 21,
"fragility_score_0_100": 83,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T17:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T18:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 7,
"bullish_pressure_score": 7,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 7,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.1,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 21,
"fragility_score_0_100": 83,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T18:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T19:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 7,
"bullish_pressure_score": 7,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 7,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.1,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 21,
"fragility_score_0_100": 83,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T19:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T20:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 7,
"bullish_pressure_score": 7,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 7,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.1,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 21,
"fragility_score_0_100": 83,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T20:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T21:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 6,
"bullish_pressure_score": 6,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 6,
"velocity_score": -1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.11,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 84,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T21:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T22:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 6,
"bullish_pressure_score": 6,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 6,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.11,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 84,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T22:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-16T23:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 6,
"bullish_pressure_score": 6,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 6,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.11,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 84,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-16T23:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T00:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 20,
"bullish_pressure_score": 20,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 20,
"velocity_score": 14,
"acceleration_score": 14,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.16,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 31,
"fragility_score_0_100": 74,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T00:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T01:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 30,
"bullish_pressure_score": 30,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 30,
"velocity_score": 10,
"acceleration_score": -4,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
"fresh_evidence_count": 4,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 39,
"fragility_score_0_100": 68,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T01:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T02:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 30,
"bullish_pressure_score": 30,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 30,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": -10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
"fresh_evidence_count": 4,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 39,
"fragility_score_0_100": 68,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T02:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T03:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 40,
"bullish_pressure_score": 40,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 40,
"velocity_score": 10,
"acceleration_score": 10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
"fresh_evidence_count": 5,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 47,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T03:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T04:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 42,
"bullish_pressure_score": 42,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 42,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": -8,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
"fresh_evidence_count": 5,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 49,
"fragility_score_0_100": 62,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T04:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T05:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 50,
"bullish_pressure_score": 50,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 50,
"velocity_score": 8,
"acceleration_score": 6,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
"fresh_evidence_count": 6,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 55,
"fragility_score_0_100": 58,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T05:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T06:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 60,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 60,
"velocity_score": 10,
"acceleration_score": 2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.16,
"fresh_evidence_count": 7,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 63,
"fragility_score_0_100": 54,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T06:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T07:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 80,
"bullish_pressure_score": 80,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 80,
"velocity_score": 20,
"acceleration_score": 10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.22,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 79,
"fragility_score_0_100": 50,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T07:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T08:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 72,
"bullish_pressure_score": 72,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 72,
"velocity_score": -8,
"acceleration_score": -28,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.2,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 73,
"fragility_score_0_100": 54,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T08:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T09:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 67,
"bullish_pressure_score": 67,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 67,
"velocity_score": -5,
"acceleration_score": 3,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.19,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 69,
"fragility_score_0_100": 56,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T09:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T10:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 62,
"bullish_pressure_score": 62,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 62,
"velocity_score": -5,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 65,
"fragility_score_0_100": 58,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T10:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T11:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 58,
"bullish_pressure_score": 58,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 58,
"velocity_score": -4,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"fragility_score_0_100": 60,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T11:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T12:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 52,
"bullish_pressure_score": 52,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 52,
"velocity_score": -6,
"acceleration_score": -2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 57,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
}
]
},
"recent_half_hour_overlay": {
"enabled": true,
"resolution": "30m",
"lookback_hours": 6,
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T06:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T06:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 65,
"bullish_pressure_score": 65,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 65,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 7,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 67,
"fragility_score_0_100": 56,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T06:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T07:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 80,
"bullish_pressure_score": 80,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 80,
"velocity_score": 15,
"acceleration_score": 15,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.22,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 79,
"fragility_score_0_100": 50,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T07:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T07:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 76,
"bullish_pressure_score": 76,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 76,
"velocity_score": -4,
"acceleration_score": -19,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.21,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 75,
"fragility_score_0_100": 52,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T07:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T08:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 72,
"bullish_pressure_score": 72,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 72,
"velocity_score": -4,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.2,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 73,
"fragility_score_0_100": 54,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T08:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T08:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 69,
"bullish_pressure_score": 69,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 69,
"velocity_score": -3,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.19,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 55,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T08:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T09:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 67,
"bullish_pressure_score": 67,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 67,
"velocity_score": -2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.19,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 69,
"fragility_score_0_100": 56,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T09:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T09:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 65,
"bullish_pressure_score": 65,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 65,
"velocity_score": -2,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 67,
"fragility_score_0_100": 57,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T09:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T10:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 62,
"bullish_pressure_score": 62,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 62,
"velocity_score": -3,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 65,
"fragility_score_0_100": 58,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T10:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T10:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 60,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 60,
"velocity_score": -2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 63,
"fragility_score_0_100": 60,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T10:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T11:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 58,
"bullish_pressure_score": 58,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 58,
"velocity_score": -2,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"fragility_score_0_100": 61,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T11:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T11:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 55,
"bullish_pressure_score": 55,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 55,
"velocity_score": -3,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 59,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T11:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T12:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 52,
"bullish_pressure_score": 52,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 52,
"velocity_score": -3,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.18,
"fresh_evidence_count": 14,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 57,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
}
]
},
"summary": {
"timeseries_peak_bullish": 80,
"timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
"latest_inflection_direction": "down",
"latest_inflection_strength": 28,
"signal_regime": "weakening_bullish"
},
"diagnostics": {
"trends_seen": 12,
"trends_admitted": 11,
"cross_domain_merges": 3,
"stale_suppression_count": 0,
"reversal_flags_count": 1,
"late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
"kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
"timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
"timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 12,
"target_market_custom": false,
"target_market_unresolved": false,
"input_gate_degraded": false,
"notes": [
"Target market resolved explicitly from flight_plan.target_market_code='silver'.",
"No explicit per-trend v2 physics/trend_state_memory present in provided payload; used evidence_recency_proxy.newest_timestamp + temporal_profile/velocity_hint for recency-weighting approximations.",
"No admitted fresh opposing-direction catalyst met late-breaking invalidation sentinel thresholds; kill-switch remains off."
]
},
"completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}
}