Snapshot
- subject_area: Brent crude oil futures
- target_market_code: crude_oil
- ticker:
- regime_state: unstable
- beliefs_count: 3
- top_risk_flag: contradiction_spike
- generated_at: 2026-03-15T18:01:17Z
- sentiment_word: Bullish
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market | belief_id | claim | prob | dir | vel | horizon | kill_switch | fragility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| crude_oil | B-crude-001 | Geopolitical + maritime-route disruption narratives are sustaining an upside risk premium in Brent over the next 6h. | 60 | up | accelerating | 6h | false | 67 |
| crude_oil | B-crude-002 | Inventory-release / inventory-overhang framing can cap Brent upside and increases pullback risk over the next 24h. | 45 | down | stable | 24h | false | 67 |
| crude_oil | B-crude-003 | Macro/FX framing (USD/oil dynamics) is adding two-way volatility rather than a clean directional impulse in the next 24h. | 55 | mixed | stable | 24h | false | 67 |
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{
"workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
"snapshot_id": "6B-20260315T180117Z-crude_oil",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-03-15T18:01:17Z",
"primary_asset_focus": {
"name": "Brent crude oil futures",
"market_code": "crude_oil"
},
"headline_sentiment_word": "Bullish",
"headline_conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"headline_fragility_score_0_100": 67,
"commodity_registry": [
"crude_oil",
"gold",
"natural_gas",
"copper",
"silver",
"wheat",
"corn",
"uranium",
"lithium",
"coffee"
],
"target_market_code": "crude_oil",
"target_resolution_source": "explicit",
"scope_mode": "single_market",
"analyzed_markets": [
"crude_oil"
],
"regime_state": "unstable",
"beliefs": [
{
"belief_id": "B-crude-001",
"market": "crude_oil",
"claim": "Geopolitical + maritime-route disruption narratives are sustaining an upside risk premium in Brent over the next 6h.",
"probability_pct": 60,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "accelerating",
"horizon": "6h",
"drivers": [
"Iran: maritime-route / chokepoint disruption theme (T-016, T-010)",
"Regional conflict escalation headlines (T-001, T-063, T-058, T-013)",
"Energy logistics disruption narrative (T-009)"
],
"contradicted_by": [
"B-crude-002"
]
},
{
"belief_id": "B-crude-002",
"market": "crude_oil",
"claim": "Inventory-release / inventory-overhang framing can cap Brent upside and increases pullback risk over the next 24h.",
"probability_pct": 45,
"direction": "down",
"velocity": "stable",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"Inventory release narrative (T-042)",
"Inventory/inventory-conditions theme (T-003)"
],
"contradicted_by": [
"B-crude-001"
]
},
{
"belief_id": "B-crude-003",
"market": "crude_oil",
"claim": "Macro/FX framing (USD/oil dynamics) is adding two-way volatility rather than a clean directional impulse in the next 24h.",
"probability_pct": 55,
"direction": "mixed",
"velocity": "stable",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"USD/oil dynamics theme (T-035)",
"Policy/macro cross-currents embedded in the news mix (risk_anomalies subset)"
],
"contradicted_by": []
}
],
"market_state_table": [
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"directional_state": "bullish",
"momentum_state": "strengthening",
"reversal_risk": "medium",
"state_change": "new_bullish",
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"freshness_confidence": "high",
"catalyst_type": "fresh_directional",
"stale_suppression_applied": true,
"thesis_kill_switch": false,
"late_breaking_alert": false,
"fragility_score_0_100": 67,
"supporting_belief_ids": [
"B-crude-001",
"B-crude-003"
]
}
],
"risk_flags": [
{
"flag": "contradiction_spike",
"market": "crude_oil",
"severity": "medium",
"notes": "Directional upside pressure from geopolitics/logistics is partially offset by inventory-release/inventory framing."
},
{
"flag": "narrative_whipsaw",
"market": "crude_oil",
"severity": "medium",
"notes": "Fast-moving geopolitical updates can flip perceived risk premium quickly; maintain reversal awareness."
},
{
"flag": "stale_context_overhang",
"market": "crude_oil",
"severity": "low",
"notes": "Some inventory-related evidence is >24h old versus the freshest geopolitics/logistics signals; applied mild stale downweighting."
},
{
"flag": "data_sparsity_in_very_recent_window",
"market": "crude_oil",
"severity": "low",
"notes": "A few very-recent VIP items are single-source; treated as low-weight background unless corroborated."
}
],
"candidate_actions": [
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"confidence": "medium",
"action": "watch_long_bias",
"trigger_condition": "If fresh geopolitics/logistics disruption items continue to dominate (recency-weighted heat stays elevated) and contradiction_ratio does not rise materially above ~0.50."
},
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"confidence": "high",
"action": "volatility_watch",
"trigger_condition": "If additional maritime-chokepoint or regional escalation headlines arrive within <=2h windows (headline-driven gap risk)."
},
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"confidence": "medium",
"action": "reversal_watch",
"trigger_condition": "If a fresh (<=6h) inventory-build/inventory-release confirmation wave appears and directional_score_signed drops below +20."
},
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"confidence": "low",
"action": "stay_flat",
"trigger_condition": "If directional_score_signed oscillates in [-20,+20] for multiple buckets with rising contradiction_ratio (rangebound/mixed regime)."
}
],
"paper_trade_signal_pack": {
"bullish_markets": [
"crude_oil"
],
"bearish_markets": [],
"neutral_mixed_markets": [],
"high_reversal_risk_markets": []
},
"signal_timeseries": {
"resolution": "1h",
"lookback_hours": 24,
"bucket_timezone": "UTC",
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T18:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T19:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 10,
"bullish_pressure_score": 35,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 10,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.26,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 38,
"fragility_score_0_100": 66,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T19:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T20:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 12,
"bullish_pressure_score": 36,
"bearish_pressure_score": 24,
"net_sentiment_score": 12,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.27,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 39,
"fragility_score_0_100": 65,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T20:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T21:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 8,
"bullish_pressure_score": 33,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 8,
"velocity_score": -4,
"acceleration_score": -6,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.3,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 37,
"fragility_score_0_100": 68,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T21:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T22:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 2,
"bullish_pressure_score": 28,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 2,
"velocity_score": -6,
"acceleration_score": -2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.34,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 33,
"fragility_score_0_100": 71,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T22:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T23:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 5,
"bullish_pressure_score": 31,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 5,
"velocity_score": 3,
"acceleration_score": 9,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.33,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 35,
"fragility_score_0_100": 69,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T23:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T00:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 9,
"bullish_pressure_score": 34,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 9,
"velocity_score": 4,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.32,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 38,
"fragility_score_0_100": 67,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T00:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T01:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 14,
"bullish_pressure_score": 38,
"bearish_pressure_score": 24,
"net_sentiment_score": 14,
"velocity_score": 5,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.31,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 40,
"fragility_score_0_100": 66,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T01:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T02:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 18,
"bullish_pressure_score": 41,
"bearish_pressure_score": 23,
"net_sentiment_score": 18,
"velocity_score": 4,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.32,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 42,
"fragility_score_0_100": 65,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T02:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T03:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 22,
"bullish_pressure_score": 45,
"bearish_pressure_score": 23,
"net_sentiment_score": 22,
"velocity_score": 4,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.33,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 46,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T03:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T04:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 25,
"bullish_pressure_score": 47,
"bearish_pressure_score": 22,
"net_sentiment_score": 25,
"velocity_score": 3,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.34,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 47,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T04:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T05:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 30,
"bullish_pressure_score": 52,
"bearish_pressure_score": 22,
"net_sentiment_score": 30,
"velocity_score": 5,
"acceleration_score": 2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.35,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 52,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T05:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T06:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 28,
"bullish_pressure_score": 49,
"bearish_pressure_score": 21,
"net_sentiment_score": 28,
"velocity_score": -2,
"acceleration_score": -7,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.35,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 49,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T06:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T07:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 32,
"bullish_pressure_score": 53,
"bearish_pressure_score": 21,
"net_sentiment_score": 32,
"velocity_score": 4,
"acceleration_score": 6,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.36,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 53,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T07:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T08:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 56,
"bearish_pressure_score": 21,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 3,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.37,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 55,
"fragility_score_0_100": 62,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T08:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T09:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 33,
"bullish_pressure_score": 54,
"bearish_pressure_score": 21,
"net_sentiment_score": 33,
"velocity_score": -2,
"acceleration_score": -5,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.39,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 54,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T09:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T10:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 38,
"bullish_pressure_score": 59,
"bearish_pressure_score": 21,
"net_sentiment_score": 38,
"velocity_score": 5,
"acceleration_score": 7,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.39,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 56,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T10:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T11:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 40,
"bullish_pressure_score": 61,
"bearish_pressure_score": 21,
"net_sentiment_score": 40,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": -3,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.4,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 57,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T11:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T12:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 44,
"bullish_pressure_score": 64,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 44,
"velocity_score": 4,
"acceleration_score": 2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.41,
"fresh_evidence_count": 4,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 60,
"fragility_score_0_100": 62,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T12:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T13:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 46,
"bullish_pressure_score": 66,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 46,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": -2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.41,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 60,
"fragility_score_0_100": 62,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T13:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T14:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 43,
"bullish_pressure_score": 64,
"bearish_pressure_score": 21,
"net_sentiment_score": 43,
"velocity_score": -3,
"acceleration_score": -5,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.42,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 58,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T14:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T15:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 45,
"bullish_pressure_score": 65,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 45,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 5,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.42,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 59,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T15:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T16:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 48,
"bullish_pressure_score": 67,
"bearish_pressure_score": 19,
"net_sentiment_score": 48,
"velocity_score": 3,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.43,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T16:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T17:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 52,
"bullish_pressure_score": 70,
"bearish_pressure_score": 18,
"net_sentiment_score": 52,
"velocity_score": 4,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.44,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 63,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T17:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T18:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 55,
"bullish_pressure_score": 73,
"bearish_pressure_score": 18,
"net_sentiment_score": 55,
"velocity_score": 3,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.45,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 64,
"fragility_score_0_100": 66,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
}
]
},
"recent_half_hour_overlay": {
"enabled": true,
"resolution": "30m",
"lookback_hours": 6,
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T12:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T12:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 45,
"bullish_pressure_score": 65,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 45,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.41,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 59,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T12:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T13:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 46,
"bullish_pressure_score": 66,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 46,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.41,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 60,
"fragility_score_0_100": 62,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T13:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T13:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 44,
"bullish_pressure_score": 64,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 44,
"velocity_score": -2,
"acceleration_score": -3,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.42,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 58,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T13:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T14:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 43,
"bullish_pressure_score": 63,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 43,
"velocity_score": -1,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.42,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 58,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T14:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T14:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 44,
"bullish_pressure_score": 64,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 44,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.42,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 58,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T14:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T15:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 45,
"bullish_pressure_score": 65,
"bearish_pressure_score": 20,
"net_sentiment_score": 45,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.42,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 59,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T15:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T15:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 47,
"bullish_pressure_score": 66,
"bearish_pressure_score": 19,
"net_sentiment_score": 47,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.43,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 60,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T15:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T16:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 48,
"bullish_pressure_score": 67,
"bearish_pressure_score": 19,
"net_sentiment_score": 48,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.43,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"fragility_score_0_100": 63,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T16:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T16:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 51,
"bullish_pressure_score": 69,
"bearish_pressure_score": 18,
"net_sentiment_score": 51,
"velocity_score": 3,
"acceleration_score": 2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.44,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 62,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T16:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T17:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 52,
"bullish_pressure_score": 70,
"bearish_pressure_score": 18,
"net_sentiment_score": 52,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.44,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 63,
"fragility_score_0_100": 64,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T17:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T17:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 54,
"bullish_pressure_score": 72,
"bearish_pressure_score": 18,
"net_sentiment_score": 54,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.45,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 64,
"fragility_score_0_100": 66,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T17:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T18:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 55,
"bullish_pressure_score": 73,
"bearish_pressure_score": 18,
"net_sentiment_score": 55,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.45,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 64,
"fragility_score_0_100": 67,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
}
]
},
"summary": {
"timeseries_peak_bullish": 55,
"timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
"latest_inflection_direction": "up",
"latest_inflection_strength": 9,
"signal_regime": "strengthening_bullish"
},
"diagnostics": {
"trends_seen": 12,
"trends_admitted": 12,
"cross_domain_merges": 3,
"stale_suppression_count": 1,
"reversal_flags_count": 1,
"late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
"kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
"timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
"timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 12,
"target_market_custom": false,
"target_market_unresolved": false,
"input_gate_degraded": false,
"notes": [
"Target scope locked to single market: crude_oil (explicit).",
"No explicit trend_physics/trend_state_memory supplied; used recency/heat/velocity_hint + narrative tags as v2-fallback approximations.",
"No late-breaking invalidation sentinel triggered (no very-fresh high-authority opposing directional shock detected in provided baton).",
"unmapped_signal_count=0"
]
},
"completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}
}