Snapshot
- subject_area: Silver futures
- target_market_code: silver
- ticker:
- regime_state: rangebound
- beliefs_count: 0
- top_risk_flag: data_sparsity (high)
- generated_at: 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
- sentiment_word: Mixed
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market | belief_id | claim | prob | dir | vel | horizon | kill_switch | fragility |
|---|
(No belief rows; beliefs_count=0)
Data Dump (Machine Use) { "workflow_6B_CIS_output": { "snapshot_id": "6B_silver_20260415T000000Z", "timestamp_utc": "2026-04-15T00:00:00Z", "primary_asset_focus": { "name": "Silver futures", "market_code": "silver" }, "headline_sentiment_word": "Mixed", "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 10, "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 85, "headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0, "commodity_registry": [ "crude_oil", "gold", "natural_gas", "copper", "silver", "wheat", "corn", "uranium", "lithium", "coffee" ], "target_market_code": "silver", "target_resolution_source": "explicit", "scope_mode": "single_market", "analyzed_markets": [ "silver" ], "regime_state": "rangebound", "beliefs": [], "market_state_table": [ { "market": "silver", "directional_state": "neutral_mixed", "momentum_state": "stable", "reversal_risk": "medium", "state_change": "unchanged", "directional_mass_score_0_100": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0, "authority_confirmation_band": "low", "freshness_confidence": "low", "catalyst_type": "unclear", "stale_suppression_applied": false, "thesis_kill_switch": false, "late_breaking_alert": false, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "supporting_belief_ids": [], "source_tier_counts": { "tier_a": 0, "tier_b": 0, "tier_c": 0, "unknown": 0 }, "freshness_mix": { "fresh_0_6h": 0, "fresh_6_24h": 0, "mid_24_72h": 0, "stale_gt_72h": 0 } } ], "risk_flags": [ { "flag": "data_sparsity", "market": "silver", "severity": "high", "details": "No admitted trend/vip/risk evidence provided to 6B (missing workflow5b_output). Minimum evidence threshold not met." }, { "flag": "direction_suppressed_due_to_degraded_inputs", "market": "silver", "severity": "medium", "details": "Client lens requested suppressing directional call when degraded/insufficient evidence." } ], "candidate_actions": [ { "market": "silver", "action": "stay_flat", "confidence": "high", "trigger_condition": "Until >=3 fresh, mapped evidence items arrive with coherent directional mass (per min_evidence_threshold=3)." }, { "market": "silver", "action": "volatility_watch", "confidence": "medium", "trigger_condition": "If fresh opposing signals appear rapidly (<=2h) or contradiction rises once evidence begins flowing." }, { "market": "silver", "action": "reversal_watch", "confidence": "low", "trigger_condition": "If a directional state emerges and then fresh counterevidence accelerates within the last 2h (kill-switch conditions)." } ], "paper_trade_signal_pack": { "bullish_markets": [], "bearish_markets": [], "neutral_mixed_markets": [ "silver" ], "high_reversal_risk_markets": [] }, "signal_timeseries": { "resolution": "1h", "lookback_hours": 24, "bucket_timezone": "UTC", "buckets": [ { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T00:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T01:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T01:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T02:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T02:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T03:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T03:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T04:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T04:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T05:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T05:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T06:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T06:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T07:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T07:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T08:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T08:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T09:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T09:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T10:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T10:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T11:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T11:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T12:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T12:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T13:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T13:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T14:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T14:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T15:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T15:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T16:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T16:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T17:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T17:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T18:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T18:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T19:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T19:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T20:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T20:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T21:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T21:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T22:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T22:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-14T23:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-14T23:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-15T00:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" } ] }, "recent_half_hour_overlay": { "enabled": false, "resolution": "30m", "lookback_hours": 6, "buckets": [] }, "summary": { "timeseries_peak_bullish": 0, "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0, "latest_inflection_direction": "flat", "latest_inflection_strength": 0, "signal_regime": "mixed_flat" } }, "diagnostics": { "conviction_policy_used": "balanced", "trends_seen": 0, "trends_admitted": 0, "cross_domain_merges": 0, "stale_suppression_count": 0, "reversal_flags_count": 0, "late_breaking_alerts_count": 0, "kill_switch_markets_count": 0, "strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 0, "timeseries_bucket_count": 24, "timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0, "target_market_custom": false, "target_market_unresolved": false, "input_gate_degraded": true, "notes": [ "No workflow5b_output provided (trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics missing).", "Min evidence threshold=3 not met (fresh_evidence_count_total=0).", "Directional call suppressed per client mode_inputs (require_directional_conviction=true; suppress_direction_if_degraded=true).", "Timeseries emitted as neutral baseline (zero evidence) to preserve fixed schema for downstream consumers." ] }, "completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B" }