Snapshot
- subject_area: Silver futures
- target_market_code: silver
- ticker: null
- regime_state: unstable
- beliefs_count: 0
- top_risk_flag: input_degraded_missing_workflow_5B
- generated_at: 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC
- sentiment_word: Mixed
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market | belief_id | claim | prob | dir | vel | horizon | kill_switch | fragility |
|---|
(No admitted beliefs , beliefs_count = 0. See Data Dump for full timeseries and diagnostics.)
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{ "workflow_6B_CIS_output": { "snapshot_id": "6B_CIS_silver_2026-04-13T00:00:00Z", "timestamp_utc": "2026-04-13T00:00:00Z", "primary_asset_focus": { "name": "Silver futures", "market_code": "silver" }, "headline_sentiment_word": "Fragile", "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 12, "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 85, "headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0, "commodity_registry": [ "crude_oil", "gold", "natural_gas", "copper", "silver", "wheat", "corn", "uranium", "lithium", "coffee" ], "target_market_code": "silver", "target_resolution_source": "explicit", "scope_mode": "single_market", "analyzed_markets": [ "silver" ], "regime_state": "unstable", "beliefs": [], "market_state_table": [ { "market": "silver", "directional_state": "neutral_mixed", "momentum_state": "stable", "reversal_risk": "low", "state_change": "unchanged", "directional_mass_score_0_100": 5, "conviction_score_0_100": 12, "authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0, "authority_confirmation_band": "low", "freshness_confidence": "low", "catalyst_type": "unclear", "stale_suppression_applied": false, "thesis_kill_switch": false, "late_breaking_alert": false, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "supporting_belief_ids": [], "source_tier_counts": { "tier_a": 0, "tier_b": 0, "tier_c": 0, "unknown": 0 }, "freshness_mix": { "fresh_0_6h": 0, "fresh_6_24h": 0, "stale_24_72h": 0, "stale_72h_plus": 0 } } ], "risk_flags": [ { "code": "input_degraded_missing_workflow_5B", "severity": "high", "description": "No workflow_5B_output (trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics) provided; directional synthesis suppressed to neutral per min-evidence threshold policy." }, { "code": "data_sparsity", "severity": "high", "description": "Admitted evidence count below threshold (min_evidence_threshold=3); conviction capped and fragility elevated." } ], "candidate_actions": [ { "market": "silver", "action": "stay_flat", "confidence": "high", "trigger_condition": "Until >= 3 independent fresh admitted signals (<=24h) are available for silver with coherent direction." }, { "market": "silver", "action": "volatility_watch", "confidence": "low", "trigger_condition": "If fresh evidence begins to arrive with mixed directionality (contradiction_ratio rises materially from ~0.0)." }, { "market": "silver", "action": "hard_de_risk_watch", "confidence": "medium", "trigger_condition": "If late-breaking opposing signals (<=2h) appear against any emerging directional bias, forcing kill-switch conditions." } ], "paper_trade_signal_pack": { "bullish_markets": [], "bearish_markets": [], "neutral_mixed_markets": [ "silver" ], "high_reversal_risk_markets": [] }, "signal_timeseries": { "resolution": "1h", "lookback_hours": 24, "bucket_timezone": "UTC", "buckets": [ { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T00:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T01:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T01:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T02:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T02:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T03:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T03:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T04:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T04:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T05:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T05:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T06:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T06:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T07:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T07:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T08:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T08:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T09:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T09:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T10:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T10:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T11:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T11:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T12:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T12:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T13:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T13:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T14:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T14:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T15:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T15:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T16:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T16:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T17:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T17:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T18:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T18:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T19:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T19:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T20:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T20:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T21:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T21:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T22:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T22:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T23:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T23:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-13T00:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0.0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" } ] }, "recent_half_hour_overlay": { "enabled": false, "resolution": "30m", "lookback_hours": 6, "buckets": [] }, "summary": { "timeseries_peak_bullish": 0, "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0, "latest_inflection_direction": "flat", "latest_inflection_strength": 0, "signal_regime": "mixed_flat" } } }