Snapshot

  • subject_area: Lithium futures
  • target_market_code: lithium
  • ticker:
  • regime_state: unstable
  • beliefs_count: 0
  • top_risk_flag: data_sparsity (high)
  • generated_at: 2026-04-13T00:00:00Z
  • sentiment_word: Unstable
  • late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
  • kill_switch_markets_count: 0

Signal Table

market belief_id claim prob dir vel horizon kill_switch fragility

(No beliefs present)

Data Dump (Machine Use)

{
 "workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
 "snapshot_id": "6B_CIS_lithium_2026-04-13T00:00:00Z",
 "timestamp_utc": "2026-04-13T00:00:00Z",
 "primary_asset_focus": {
 "name": "Lithium futures",
 "market_code": "lithium"
 },
 "headline_sentiment_word": "Mixed",
 "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 25,
 "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 80,
 "headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0,
 "commodity_registry": [
 "crude_oil",
 "gold",
 "natural_gas",
 "copper",
 "silver",
 "wheat",
 "corn",
 "uranium",
 "lithium",
 "coffee"
 ],
 "target_market_code": "lithium",
 "target_resolution_source": "explicit",
 "scope_mode": "single_market",
 "analyzed_markets": [
 "lithium"
 ],
 "regime_state": "unstable",
 "beliefs": [],
 "market_state_table": [
 {
 "market": "lithium",
 "directional_state": "neutral_mixed",
 "momentum_state": "stable",
 "reversal_risk": "low",
 "state_change": "unchanged",
 "directional_mass_score_0_100": 0,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 25,
 "authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0,
 "authority_confirmation_band": "low",
 "freshness_confidence": "low",
 "catalyst_type": "unclear",
 "stale_suppression_applied": false,
 "thesis_kill_switch": false,
 "late_breaking_alert": false,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 80,
 "supporting_belief_ids": [],
 "source_tier_counts": {
 "tier_a": 0,
 "tier_b": 0,
 "tier_c": 0,
 "unknown": 0
 },
 "freshness_mix": {
 "fresh_0_6h": 0,
 "fresh_6_24h": 0,
 "fresh_24_72h": 0,
 "stale_gt_72h": 0
 }
 }
 ],
 "risk_flags": [
 {
 "flag": "data_sparsity",
 "market": "lithium",
 "severity": "high",
 "note": "No Workflow 5B trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies provided; directional synthesis degraded below evidence threshold."
 },
 {
 "flag": "freshness_uncertain",
 "market": "lithium",
 "severity": "medium",
 "note": "No admissible timestamped evidence items were provided for recency weighting."
 }
 ],
 "candidate_actions": [
 {
 "market": "lithium",
 "action": "stay_flat",
 "confidence": "high",
 "trigger_condition": "Remain in neutral observation state until >=3 independent, timestamped admitted signals exist with coherent direction."
 },
 {
 "market": "lithium",
 "action": "volatility_watch",
 "confidence": "medium",
 "trigger_condition": "If fresh signals arrive with high contradiction_ratio (mixed drivers) in the last 6h, treat as unstable regime."
 },
 {
 "market": "lithium",
 "action": "reversal_watch",
 "confidence": "low",
 "trigger_condition": "If a directional state becomes established and then >=2 opposing signals appear within 2h, enable late-breaking invalidation handling."
 }
 ],
 "paper_trade_signal_pack": {
 "bullish_markets": [],
 "bearish_markets": [],
 "neutral_mixed_markets": [
 "lithium"
 ],
 "high_reversal_risk_markets": []
 },
 "signal_timeseries": {
 "resolution": "1h",
 "lookback_hours": 24,
 "bucket_timezone": "UTC",
 "buckets": [
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T00:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T01:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 0,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 0,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
 "net_sentiment_score": 0,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 0,
 "stale_evidence_count": 0,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 85,
 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T01:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T02:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 0,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 0,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
 "net_sentiment_score": 0,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 0,
 "stale_evidence_count": 0,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 85,
 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T02:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T03:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 0,
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 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "acceleration_score": 0,
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 "stale_evidence_count": 0,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 85,
 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T03:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T04:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 0,
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 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T04:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T05:00:00Z",
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T05:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T06:00:00Z",
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 "bullish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T06:00:00Z",
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T07:00:00Z",
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 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "stale_evidence_count": 0,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 85,
 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T08:00:00Z",
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 "bullish_pressure_score": 0,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T09:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T10:00:00Z",
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 "bullish_pressure_score": 0,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T10:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T11:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 0,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 0,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "acceleration_score": 0,
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T11:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T12:00:00Z",
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 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T12:00:00Z",
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 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T13:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T14:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 0,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 0,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 0,
 "stale_evidence_count": 0,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 85,
 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T14:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T15:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 0,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 0,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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 "acceleration_score": 0,
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T15:00:00Z",
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 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
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 {
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 },
 {
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 {
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 },
 {
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 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T21:00:00Z",
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T22:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-12T23:00:00Z",
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 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-12T23:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-13T00:00:00Z",
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 "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
 }
 ]
 },
 "recent_half_hour_overlay": {
 "enabled": false,
 "resolution": "30m",
 "lookback_hours": 6,
 "buckets": []
 },
 "summary": {
 "timeseries_peak_bullish": 0,
 "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
 "latest_inflection_direction": "flat",
 "latest_inflection_strength": 0,
 "signal_regime": "mixed_flat"
 }
 },
 "diagnostics": {
 "conviction_policy_used": "balanced",
 "trends_seen": 0,
 "trends_admitted": 0,
 "cross_domain_merges": 0,
 "stale_suppression_count": 0,
 "reversal_flags_count": 0,
 "late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
 "kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
 "strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 0,
 "timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
 "timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0,
 "target_market_custom": false,
 "target_market_unresolved": false,
 "input_gate_degraded": true,
 "notes": [
 "Workflow 6B received flight_plan + slimmed 5C only; missing workflow5b_output (trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics).",
 "Applied evidence threshold policy: suppress_direction_if_degraded=true and min_evidence_threshold=3 -> forced neutral_mixed with low freshness confidence."
 ]
 },
 "completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}