Snapshot

  • subject_area: Brent crude oil futures
  • target_market_code: crude_oil
  • ticker: ""
  • regime_state: rangebound
  • beliefs_count: 0
  • top_risk_flag: data_sparsity (high)
  • generated_at: 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC
  • sentiment_word: Mixed
  • late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
  • kill_switch_markets_count: 0

Signal Table

market belief_id claim prob dir vel horizon kill_switch fragility

Data Dump (Machine Use) { "workflow_6B_CIS_output": { "snapshot_id": "6B_CIS_2026-04-13T19:00:00Z_crude_oil", "timestamp_utc": "2026-04-13T19:00:00Z", "primary_asset_focus": { "name": "Brent crude oil futures", "market_code": "crude_oil" }, "headline_sentiment_word": "Fragile", "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 10, "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 90, "headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0, "commodity_registry": [ "crude_oil", "gold", "natural_gas", "copper", "silver", "wheat", "corn", "uranium", "lithium", "coffee" ], "target_market_code": "crude_oil", "target_resolution_source": "explicit", "scope_mode": "single_market", "analyzed_markets": [ "crude_oil" ], "regime_state": "rangebound", "beliefs": [], "market_state_table": [ { "market": "crude_oil", "directional_state": "neutral_mixed", "momentum_state": "stable", "reversal_risk": "medium", "state_change": "unchanged", "directional_mass_score_0_100": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0, "authority_confirmation_band": "low", "freshness_confidence": "low", "catalyst_type": "unclear", "stale_suppression_applied": false, "thesis_kill_switch": false, "late_breaking_alert": false, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "supporting_belief_ids": [], "source_tier_counts": { "tier_A": 0, "tier_B": 0, "tier_C": 0, "unknown": 0 }, "freshness_mix": { "fresh_0_6h": 0, "fresh_6_24h": 0, "fresh_24_72h": 0, "stale_gt_72h": 0 } } ], "risk_flags": [ { "flag": "data_sparsity", "market": "crude_oil", "severity": "high", "details": "No workflow5B trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies provided; ingested_data empty; raw_news_feed_items=0; below min_evidence_threshold=3." }, { "flag": "freshness_unknown", "market": "crude_oil", "severity": "high", "details": "No timestamped evidence available to compute recency weighting or detect late-breaking invalidation." } ], "candidate_actions": [ { "market": "crude_oil", "confidence": "high", "action": "stay_flat", "trigger_condition": "Remain until >=3 independent fresh signals (<=24h) produce directional_mass_score >= 55 with contradiction_ratio <= 0.35." }, { "market": "crude_oil", "confidence": "medium", "action": "volatility_watch", "trigger_condition": "If new evidence arrives but is mixed (directional_score_signed between -20 and +20) with elevated contradiction in the last 6h." } ], "paper_trade_signal_pack": { "bullish_markets": [], "bearish_markets": [], "neutral_mixed_markets": [ "crude_oil" ], "high_reversal_risk_markets": [] }, "signal_timeseries": { "resolution": "1h", "lookback_hours": 24, "bucket_timezone": "UTC", "buckets": [], "recent_half_hour_overlay": { "enabled": false, "resolution": "30m", "lookback_hours": 6, "buckets": [] }, "summary": { "timeseries_peak_bullish": 0, "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0, "latest_inflection_direction": "flat", "latest_inflection_strength": 0, "signal_regime": "mixed_flat" } }, "diagnostics": { "conviction_policy_used": "balanced", "trends_seen": 0, "trends_admitted": 0, "cross_domain_merges": 0, "stale_suppression_count": 0, "reversal_flags_count": 0, "late_breaking_alerts_count": 0, "kill_switch_markets_count": 0, "strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 0, "timeseries_bucket_count": 0, "timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0, "target_market_custom": false, "target_market_unresolved": false, "input_gate_degraded": true, "notes": [ "Mode guard passed: commodities_trading.", "Target scope resolved explicitly: target_market_code=crude_oil; scope_mode forced single_market.", "No workflow5B payload present (trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics missing).", "No ingested_data and raw_news_feed_items=0 -> cannot compute physics, recency weighting, reversal detection, or timeseries buckets.", "Client constraints: min_evidence_threshold=3, require_directional_conviction=true, suppress_direction_if_degraded=true -> direction suppressed to neutral_mixed with low conviction." ] }, "completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B" } }