Snapshot
- subject_area: Lithium futures
- target_market_code: lithium
- ticker: null
- regime_state: rangebound
- beliefs_count: 0
- top_risk_flag: data_sparsity (high)
- generated_at: 2026-04-09T12:00:00Z
- sentiment_word: Mixed
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market |
belief_id |
claim |
prob |
dir |
vel |
horizon |
kill_switch |
fragility |
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{
"workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
"snapshot_id": "6B_lithium_20260409T120000Z",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-04-09T12:00:00Z",
"primary_asset_focus": {
"name": "Lithium futures",
"market_code": "lithium"
},
"headline_sentiment_word": "Fragile",
"headline_conviction_score_0_100": 15,
"headline_fragility_score_0_100": 85,
"headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0,
"commodity_registry": [
"crude_oil",
"gold",
"natural_gas",
"copper",
"silver",
"wheat",
"corn",
"uranium",
"lithium",
"coffee"
],
"target_market_code": "lithium",
"target_resolution_source": "explicit",
"scope_mode": "single_market",
"analyzed_markets": [
"lithium"
],
"regime_state": "rangebound",
"beliefs": [],
"market_state_table": [
{
"market": "lithium",
"directional_state": "neutral_mixed",
"momentum_state": "stable",
"reversal_risk": "medium",
"state_change": "invalidated_stale",
"directional_mass_score_0_100": 5,
"conviction_score_0_100": 15,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0,
"authority_confirmation_band": "low",
"freshness_confidence": "low",
"catalyst_type": "unclear",
"stale_suppression_applied": true,
"thesis_kill_switch": false,
"late_breaking_alert": false,
"fragility_score_0_100": 85,
"supporting_belief_ids": [],
"source_tier_counts": {
"tier_a": 0,
"tier_b": 0,
"tier_c": 0,
"unknown": 0
},
"freshness_mix": {
"fresh_0_6h": 0,
"fresh_6_24h": 0,
"mid_24_72h": 0,
"stale_gt_72h": 0
}
}
],
"risk_flags": [
{
"flag": "data_sparsity",
"severity": "high",
"detail": "workflow5b_output missing (no trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics), cannot meet min_evidence_threshold=3."
},
{
"flag": "input_gate_degraded",
"severity": "high",
"detail": "Directional synthesis suppressed per flight_plan.suppress_direction_if_degraded=true."
},
{
"flag": "stale_context_overhang",
"severity": "medium",
"detail": "No admissible fresh evidence provided; any background thesis must be treated as stale/unsupported in this run."
}
],
"candidate_actions": [
{
"market": "lithium",
"confidence": "high",
"trigger_condition": "stay_flat until >=3 fresh admitted signals exist inside the configured time_window (30d) with non-trivial directional_mass_score."
},
{
"market": "lithium",
"confidence": "medium",
"trigger_condition": "volatility_watch if new opposing signals arrive within <=2h window (late-breaking invalidation sentinel) once a directional thesis forms."
}
],
"paper_trade_signal_pack": {
"bullish_markets": [],
"bearish_markets": [],
"neutral_mixed_markets": [
"lithium"
],
"high_reversal_risk_markets": []
},
"signal_timeseries": {
"resolution": "1h",
"lookback_hours": 24,
"bucket_timezone": "UTC",
"buckets": [],
"recent_half_hour_overlay": {
"enabled": false,
"resolution": "30m",
"lookback_hours": 6,
"buckets": []
},
"summary": {
"timeseries_peak_bullish": 0,
"timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
"latest_inflection_direction": "flat",
"latest_inflection_strength": 0,
"signal_regime": "mixed_flat"
}
},
"diagnostics": {
"conviction_policy_used": "mass_consensus",
"trends_seen": 0,
"trends_admitted": 0,
"cross_domain_merges": 0,
"stale_suppression_count": 1,
"reversal_flags_count": 0,
"late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
"kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
"strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 0,
"timeseries_bucket_count": 0,
"timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0,
"target_market_custom": false,
"target_market_unresolved": false,
"input_gate_degraded": true,
"notes": [
"workflow5b_output was not provided in input; emitted neutral_mixed fallback for lithium with degraded conviction.",
"signal_timeseries buckets omitted because no timestamped admitted signals were available to assign into UTC buckets.",
"state_change set to invalidated_stale to reflect suppression/invalidity of any prior directional thesis in absence of admissible current evidence."
]
},
"completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}
}