Snapshot
- subject_area: Lithium futures
- target_market_code: lithium
- ticker:
- regime_state: rangebound
- beliefs_count: 0
- top_risk_flag: data_sparsity (high)
- generated_at: 2026-04-08T00:00:00Z
- sentiment_word: Mixed
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market | belief_id | claim | prob | dir | vel | horizon | kill_switch | fragility |
|---|
(No beliefs present)
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{
"workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
"snapshot_id": "6B-CIS-2026-04-08T00:00:00Z-lithium",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-04-08T00:00:00Z",
"primary_asset_focus": {
"name": "Lithium futures",
"market_code": "lithium"
},
"headline_sentiment_word": "Fragile",
"headline_conviction_score_0_100": 12,
"headline_fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0,
"commodity_registry": [
"crude_oil",
"gold",
"natural_gas",
"copper",
"silver",
"wheat",
"corn",
"uranium",
"lithium",
"coffee"
],
"target_market_code": "lithium",
"target_resolution_source": "explicit",
"scope_mode": "single_market",
"analyzed_markets": [
"lithium"
],
"regime_state": "rangebound",
"beliefs": [],
"market_state_table": [
{
"market": "lithium",
"directional_state": "neutral_mixed",
"momentum_state": "stable",
"reversal_risk": "medium",
"state_change": "unchanged",
"directional_mass_score_0_100": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0,
"authority_confirmation_band": "low",
"freshness_confidence": "low",
"catalyst_type": "unclear",
"stale_suppression_applied": false,
"thesis_kill_switch": false,
"late_breaking_alert": false,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"supporting_belief_ids": [],
"source_tier_counts": {
"tier_a": 0,
"tier_b": 0,
"tier_c": 0,
"tier_unknown": 0
},
"freshness_mix": {
"fresh_0_6h": 0,
"fresh_6_24h": 0,
"stale_24_72h": 0,
"stale_gt_72h": 0,
"total_evidence": 0
}
}
],
"risk_flags": [
{
"flag": "data_sparsity",
"severity": "high",
"market": "lithium",
"detail": "No admitted trend/risk inputs were provided to workflow 6B (missing workflow5b_output trends/vip/risk objects). Direction suppressed to neutral_mixed per min_evidence_threshold=3."
},
{
"flag": "freshness_confidence_low",
"severity": "medium",
"market": "lithium",
"detail": "No fresh evidence available in the last 24h buckets; conviction capped and fragility elevated."
}
],
"candidate_actions": [
{
"market": "lithium",
"action": "stay_flat",
"confidence": "high",
"trigger_condition": "Remain neutral until >= 3 fresh admitted signals (per min_evidence_threshold) establish a consistent directional mass for lithium."
},
{
"market": "lithium",
"action": "volatility_watch",
"confidence": "medium",
"trigger_condition": "If new, fast-arriving opposing signals appear within <= 2h (late-breaking invalidation sentinel conditions), treat as potential regime instability and reassess."
}
],
"paper_trade_signal_pack": {
"bullish_markets": [],
"bearish_markets": [],
"neutral_mixed_markets": [
"lithium"
],
"high_reversal_risk_markets": []
},
"signal_timeseries": {
"resolution": "1h",
"lookback_hours": 24,
"bucket_timezone": "UTC",
"buckets": [
{
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"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T01:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T01:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T02:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T02:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T03:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"velocity_score": 0,
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"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T03:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T04:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"acceleration_score": 0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T04:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T05:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T05:00:00Z",
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"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T06:00:00Z",
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T07:00:00Z",
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T08:00:00Z",
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
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"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T09:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T10:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T10:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T11:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"acceleration_score": 0,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T11:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T12:00:00Z",
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
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"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T14:00:00Z",
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
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"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T16:00:00Z",
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"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
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},
{
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},
{
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"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T19:00:00Z",
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
"fragility_score_0_100": 82,
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},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T20:00:00Z",
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"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T21:00:00Z",
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"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
"velocity_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T22:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T23:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T23:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-08T00:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 12,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
}
]
},
"recent_half_hour_overlay": {
"enabled": false,
"resolution": "30m",
"lookback_hours": 6,
"buckets": []
},
"summary": {
"timeseries_peak_bullish": 0,
"timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
"latest_inflection_direction": "flat",
"latest_inflection_strength": 0,
"signal_regime": "mixed_flat"
}
},
"diagnostics": {
"conviction_policy_used": "balanced",
"trends_seen": 0,
"trends_admitted": 0,
"cross_domain_merges": 0,
"stale_suppression_count": 0,
"reversal_flags_count": 0,
"late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
"kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
"strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 0,
"timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
"timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0,
"target_market_custom": false,
"target_market_unresolved": false,
"input_gate_degraded": true,
"notes": [
"workflow5b_output not provided (no trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics).",
"min_evidence_threshold=3 could not be met (total_evidence=0); directional call suppressed to neutral_mixed.",
"state_change set to 'unchanged' because no prior state memory was supplied (unknown_prior)."
]
},
"completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}