Snapshot
- subject_area: Brent crude oil futures
- target_market_code: crude_oil
- ticker: null
- regime_state: unstable
- beliefs_count: 0
- top_risk_flag: input_gate_degraded
- generated_at: 2026-04-08 22:40 UTC
- sentiment_word: Fragile
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market | belief_id | claim | prob | dir | vel | horizon | kill_switch | fragility |
|---|
(No admitted beliefs present in input)
Data Dump (Machine Use) { "workflow_6B_CIS_output": { "snapshot_id": "6B_CIS_crude_oil_2026-04-08T22:40:00Z", "timestamp_utc": "2026-04-08T22:40:00Z", "primary_asset_focus": { "name": "Brent crude oil futures", "market_code": "crude_oil" }, "headline_sentiment_word": "Fragile", "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 25, "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 82, "headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 5, "commodity_registry": [ "crude_oil", "gold", "natural_gas", "copper", "silver", "wheat", "corn", "uranium", "lithium", "coffee" ], "target_market_code": "crude_oil", "target_resolution_source": "explicit", "scope_mode": "single_market", "analyzed_markets": [ "crude_oil" ], "regime_state": "unstable", "beliefs": [], "market_state_table": [ { "market": "crude_oil", "directional_state": "neutral_mixed", "momentum_state": "stable", "reversal_risk": "medium", "state_change": "unchanged", "directional_mass_score_0_100": 15, "conviction_score_0_100": 25, "authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 5, "authority_confirmation_band": "low", "freshness_confidence": "low", "catalyst_type": "unclear", "stale_suppression_applied": false, "thesis_kill_switch": false, "late_breaking_alert": false, "fragility_score_0_100": 82, "supporting_belief_ids": [], "source_tier_counts": { "tier_a": 0, "tier_b": 0, "tier_c": 0, "unknown": 0 }, "freshness_mix": { "fresh_0_24h": 0, "mid_24_72h": 0, "stale_72h_plus": 0 } } ], "risk_flags": [ { "flag": "input_gate_degraded", "severity": "high", "details": "workflow5b_output (trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics) not provided; directional synthesis cannot be grounded in admitted evidence." }, { "flag": "data_sparsity", "severity": "high", "details": "No admitted trend objects available for crude_oil; conviction capped and state held at neutral_mixed." }, { "flag": "evidence_below_threshold", "severity": "high", "details": "min_evidence_threshold=3 requested, but admitted evidence count=0." } ], "candidate_actions": [ { "market": "crude_oil", "action": "stay_flat", "confidence": "high", "trigger_condition": "Until >=3 fresh admitted evidence items exist and directional_mass_score_0_100 rises above the neutral band with low contradiction." }, { "market": "crude_oil", "action": "volatility_watch", "confidence": "medium", "trigger_condition": "If fresh contradictory signals appear within a 2h window (late-breaking invalidation sentinel conditions), re-check reversal_risk and fragility." } ], "paper_trade_signal_pack": { "bullish_markets": [], "bearish_markets": [], "neutral_mixed_markets": [ "crude_oil" ], "high_reversal_risk_markets": [] }, "signal_timeseries": { "resolution": "1h", "lookback_hours": 24, "bucket_timezone": "UTC", "buckets": [], "recent_half_hour_overlay": { "enabled": false, "resolution": "30m", "lookback_hours": 6, "buckets": [] }, "summary": { "timeseries_peak_bullish": 0, "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0, "latest_inflection_direction": "flat", "latest_inflection_strength": 0, "signal_regime": "mixed_flat" } }, "diagnostics": { "conviction_policy_used": "balanced", "trends_seen": 0, "trends_admitted": 0, "cross_domain_merges": 0, "stale_suppression_count": 0, "reversal_flags_count": 0, "late_breaking_alerts_count": 0, "kill_switch_markets_count": 0, "strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 0, "timeseries_bucket_count": 0, "timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0, "target_market_custom": false, "target_market_unresolved": false, "input_gate_degraded": true, "notes": [ "No workflow5b_output supplied; cannot admit/mapping-tag trends, vip_outliers, or risk_anomalies.", "Per user request: suppress directional forcing when conviction is insufficient; emitted neutral_mixed with low freshness confidence." ] }, "completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B" } }