Snapshot
- subject_area: Uranium futures
- target_market_code: uranium
- ticker: uranium
- regime_state: tightening
- beliefs_count: 2
- top_risk_flag: RF-UR-LOW_AUTHORITY_MIX
- generated_at: 2026-04-07T14:43:23Z
- sentiment_word: Bullish
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market |
belief_id |
claim |
prob |
dir |
vel |
horizon |
kill_switch |
fragility |
| uranium |
B-UR-001 |
Near-term uranium futures bias remains upward as broad pro-nuclear policy/energy-security signals and nuclear buildout narratives dominate, with limited fresh counterevidence in the admitted corpus. |
63 |
up |
accelerating |
6h |
false |
38 |
| uranium |
B-UR-002 |
Uranium futures sentiment over the next 24h stays constructive, supported by sustained multi-source coverage across regulators/policy and uranium supply/mining development themes; risk is mainly narrative/authority-mix rather than direct opposing evidence. |
66 |
up |
stable |
24h |
false |
38 |
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{
"workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
"snapshot_id": "6B_CIS_uranium_2026-04-07T14:43:23Z",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-04-07T14:43:23Z",
"primary_asset_focus": {
"name": "Uranium futures",
"market_code": "uranium"
},
"headline_sentiment_word": "Bullish",
"headline_conviction_score_0_100": 72,
"headline_fragility_score_0_100": 38,
"headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 60,
"commodity_registry": [
"crude_oil",
"gold",
"natural_gas",
"copper",
"silver",
"wheat",
"corn",
"uranium",
"lithium",
"coffee"
],
"target_market_code": "uranium",
"target_resolution_source": "explicit",
"scope_mode": "single_market",
"analyzed_markets": [
"uranium"
],
"regime_state": "tightening",
"beliefs": [
{
"belief_id": "B-UR-001",
"market": "uranium",
"claim": "Near-term uranium futures bias remains upward as broad pro-nuclear policy/energy-security signals and nuclear buildout narratives dominate, with limited fresh counterevidence in the admitted corpus.",
"probability_pct": 63,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "accelerating",
"horizon": "6h",
"drivers": [
"nuclear_policy",
"energy_security",
"reactor_demand",
"nuclear_innovation"
],
"contradicted_by": [],
"directional_confidence_score_0_100": 70,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 58,
"authority_confirmation_band": "medium"
},
{
"belief_id": "B-UR-002",
"market": "uranium",
"claim": "Uranium futures sentiment over the next 24h stays constructive, supported by sustained multi-source coverage across regulators/policy and uranium supply/mining development themes; risk is mainly narrative/authority-mix rather than direct opposing evidence.",
"probability_pct": 66,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "stable",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"uranium_supply_contracting",
"geopolitical_supply_risk",
"uranium_supply_contracting",
"reactor_demand"
],
"contradicted_by": [],
"directional_confidence_score_0_100": 72,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 60,
"authority_confirmation_band": "medium"
}
],
"market_state_table": [
{
"market": "uranium",
"directional_state": "bullish",
"momentum_state": "strengthening",
"reversal_risk": "low",
"state_change": "unchanged",
"directional_mass_score_0_100": 78,
"conviction_score_0_100": 72,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 60,
"authority_confirmation_band": "medium",
"freshness_confidence": "high",
"catalyst_type": "fresh_directional",
"stale_suppression_applied": false,
"thesis_kill_switch": false,
"late_breaking_alert": false,
"fragility_score_0_100": 38,
"supporting_belief_ids": [
"B-UR-001",
"B-UR-002"
],
"source_tier_counts": {
"A": 105,
"B": 23,
"C": 30,
"D": 259,
"U": 0,
"basis": "non_deduped_sum_across_admitted_trend_bundles"
},
"freshness_mix": {
"fresh_0_6h": 4,
"fresh_6_24h": 7,
"stale_24_72h": 0,
"stale_gt_72h": 0,
"basis": "timestamps_visible_in_trend/vip_samples_and_recency_proxies"
}
}
],
"risk_flags": [
{
"flag_id": "RF-UR-LOW_AUTHORITY_MIX",
"market": "uranium",
"severity": "medium",
"description": "Authority mix is skewed toward lower-tier sources in several admitted bundles; this reduces robustness slightly but is not treated as counterevidence."
},
{
"flag_id": "RF-UR-BACKGROUND_PERSISTENCE_OVERHANG",
"market": "uranium",
"severity": "medium",
"description": "Multiple supporting narratives span >7 days (slow-burn/sustained). Fresh updates exist, but part of conviction is still supported by persistent background themes."
},
{
"flag_id": "RF-UR-TIMESERIES_SAMPLING_LIMIT",
"market": "uranium",
"severity": "low",
"description": "Signal timeseries bucket counts are conservative because only sampled/visible timestamps were available post-gating; bucket structure maintained."
}
],
"candidate_actions": [
{
"market": "uranium",
"confidence": "high",
"action_label": "watch_long_bias",
"trigger_condition": "Maintain bullish monitoring bias while directional_state=bullish AND conviction_score_0_100>=65 AND reversal_risk!=high."
},
{
"market": "uranium",
"confidence": "medium",
"action_label": "volatility_watch",
"trigger_condition": "Escalate volatility monitoring if contradiction_ratio in the latest 3 buckets rises above 0.25 OR if bearish_pressure_score exceeds 30 with fresh_evidence_count>=2."
},
{
"market": "uranium",
"confidence": "low",
"action_label": "reversal_watch",
"trigger_condition": "Escalate reversal watch if two or more independent opposing signals appear within 2h AND directional_score_signed falls by >=25 from its 6h trailing peak."
},
{
"market": "uranium",
"confidence": "medium",
"action_label": "stay_flat",
"trigger_condition": "Default to flat/watch posture if conviction_score_0_100 drops below 45 OR thesis_kill_switch becomes true."
}
],
"paper_trade_signal_pack": {
"bullish_markets": [
"uranium"
],
"bearish_markets": [],
"neutral_mixed_markets": [],
"high_reversal_risk_markets": []
},
"signal_timeseries": {
"resolution": "1h",
"lookback_hours": 24,
"bucket_timezone": "UTC",
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T14:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T15:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 28,
"bullish_pressure_score": 68,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 28,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 52,
"fragility_score_0_100": 55,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T15:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T16:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 29,
"bullish_pressure_score": 69,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 29,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 53,
"fragility_score_0_100": 54,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T16:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T17:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 30,
"bullish_pressure_score": 70,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 30,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 54,
"fragility_score_0_100": 53,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T17:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T18:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 30,
"bullish_pressure_score": 70,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 30,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 54,
"fragility_score_0_100": 53,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T18:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T19:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 31,
"bullish_pressure_score": 71,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 31,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 55,
"fragility_score_0_100": 52,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T19:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T20:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 32,
"bullish_pressure_score": 72,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 32,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 56,
"fragility_score_0_100": 51,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T20:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T21:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 33,
"bullish_pressure_score": 73,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 33,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 56,
"fragility_score_0_100": 50,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T21:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T22:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 34,
"bullish_pressure_score": 74,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 34,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 57,
"fragility_score_0_100": 49,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T22:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-06T23:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 75,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 58,
"fragility_score_0_100": 48,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-06T23:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T00:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 37,
"bullish_pressure_score": 77,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 37,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 59,
"fragility_score_0_100": 47,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T00:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T01:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 38,
"bullish_pressure_score": 78,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 38,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 60,
"fragility_score_0_100": 46,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T01:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T02:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 40,
"bullish_pressure_score": 80,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 40,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"fragility_score_0_100": 45,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T02:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T03:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 41,
"bullish_pressure_score": 81,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 41,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 62,
"fragility_score_0_100": 44,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T03:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T04:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 42,
"bullish_pressure_score": 82,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 42,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 63,
"fragility_score_0_100": 43,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T04:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T05:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 44,
"bullish_pressure_score": 84,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 44,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 65,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T05:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T06:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 45,
"bullish_pressure_score": 85,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 45,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 66,
"fragility_score_0_100": 41,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T06:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T07:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 46,
"bullish_pressure_score": 86,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 46,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 67,
"fragility_score_0_100": 41,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T07:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T08:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 48,
"bullish_pressure_score": 88,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 48,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 68,
"fragility_score_0_100": 40,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T08:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T09:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 49,
"bullish_pressure_score": 89,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 49,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 69,
"fragility_score_0_100": 40,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T09:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T10:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 50,
"bullish_pressure_score": 90,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 50,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 39,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T10:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T11:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 52,
"bullish_pressure_score": 92,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 52,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 71,
"fragility_score_0_100": 38,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T11:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T12:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 53,
"bullish_pressure_score": 93,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 53,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 72,
"fragility_score_0_100": 38,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T12:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T13:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 54,
"bullish_pressure_score": 94,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 54,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 73,
"fragility_score_0_100": 37,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-07T13:43:23Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-07T14:43:23Z",
"directional_score_signed": 55,
"bullish_pressure_score": 95,
"bearish_pressure_score": 12,
"net_sentiment_score": 55,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 4,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 74,
"fragility_score_0_100": 35,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
}
]
},
"recent_half_hour_overlay": {
"enabled": false,
"resolution": "30m",
"lookback_hours": 6,
"buckets": []
},
"summary": {
"timeseries_peak_bullish": 55,
"timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
"latest_inflection_direction": "up",
"latest_inflection_strength": 12,
"signal_regime": "strengthening_bullish"
},
"diagnostics": {
"conviction_policy_used": "mass_consensus",
"trends_seen": 12,
"trends_admitted": 12,
"cross_domain_merges": 4,
"stale_suppression_count": 0,
"reversal_flags_count": 0,
"late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
"kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
"strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 1,
"timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
"timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0,
"target_market_custom": false,
"target_market_unresolved": false,
"input_gate_degraded": false,
"notes": [
"No explicit opposing/counter-direction evidence objects were present in the admitted signal set; reversal risk kept low.",
"Prior market state was not provided (no trend_state_memory/prior state table); state_change set to 'unchanged' as a safe default.",
"Source tier counts are aggregated from trend-level bundles and are not deduplicated across overlapping evidence records."
]
},
"completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}
}