Snapshot
- subject_area: Brent crude oil futures
- target_market_code: crude_oil
- ticker: null
- regime_state: unstable
- beliefs_count: 0
- top_risk_flag: data_sparsity (high)
- generated_at: 2026-04-05T12:00:00Z
- sentiment_word: Unstable
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market | belief_id | claim | prob | dir | vel | horizon | kill_switch | fragility |
|---|
(No beliefs present in the 6B payload)
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{
"workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
"snapshot_id": "6B-CIS-20260405T120000Z-crude_oil",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-04-05T12:00:00Z",
"primary_asset_focus": {
"name": "Brent crude oil futures",
"market_code": "crude_oil"
},
"headline_sentiment_word": "Fragile",
"headline_conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"headline_fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0,
"commodity_registry": [
"crude_oil",
"gold",
"natural_gas",
"copper",
"silver",
"wheat",
"corn",
"uranium",
"lithium",
"coffee"
],
"target_market_code": "crude_oil",
"target_resolution_source": "explicit",
"scope_mode": "single_market",
"analyzed_markets": [
"crude_oil"
],
"regime_state": "unstable",
"beliefs": [],
"market_state_table": [
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"directional_state": "neutral_mixed",
"momentum_state": "stable",
"reversal_risk": "medium",
"state_change": "unchanged",
"directional_mass_score_0_100": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0,
"authority_confirmation_band": "low",
"freshness_confidence": "low",
"catalyst_type": "unclear",
"stale_suppression_applied": false,
"thesis_kill_switch": false,
"late_breaking_alert": false,
"fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"supporting_belief_ids": [],
"source_tier_counts": {
"tier_a": 0,
"tier_b": 0,
"tier_c": 0,
"unknown": 0
},
"freshness_mix": {
"fresh_0_6h": 0,
"fresh_6_24h": 0,
"mid_24_72h": 0,
"stale_72h_plus": 0
}
}
],
"risk_flags": [
{
"flag": "data_sparsity",
"severity": "high",
"market": "crude_oil",
"details": "No Workflow 5B trend/evidence objects provided to 6B; cannot meet min_evidence_threshold=3 for directional conviction."
},
{
"flag": "evidence_below_threshold",
"severity": "high",
"market": "crude_oil",
"details": "Directional state suppressed to neutral_mixed because admitted evidence count is 0."
}
],
"candidate_actions": [
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"confidence": "high",
"action": "stay_flat",
"trigger_condition": "Remain neutral while admitted fresh evidence count < 3 or input remains degraded/missing 5B trends."
},
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"confidence": "medium",
"action": "volatility_watch",
"trigger_condition": "Escalate monitoring if fresh contradictory evidence appears within <=2h windows (late-breaking invalidation sentinel conditions)."
},
{
"market": "crude_oil",
"confidence": "medium",
"action": "reversal_watch",
"trigger_condition": "If a clear bullish/bearish thesis emerges then immediately faces fresh opposing evidence (<=2h), treat as reversal-risk until corroborated."
}
],
"paper_trade_signal_pack": {
"bullish_markets": [],
"bearish_markets": [],
"neutral_mixed_markets": [
"crude_oil"
],
"high_reversal_risk_markets": []
},
"signal_timeseries": {
"resolution": "1h",
"lookback_hours": 24,
"bucket_timezone": "UTC",
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T12:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T13:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T13:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T14:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T14:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T15:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T15:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T16:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T16:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T17:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T17:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T18:00:00Z",
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T18:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T19:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T19:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T20:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T20:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T21:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T21:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T22:00:00Z",
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"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
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"acceleration_score": 0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T22:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-04T23:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
"net_sentiment_score": 0,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-04T23:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T00:00:00Z",
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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"acceleration_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T00:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T01:00:00Z",
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T01:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T02:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T02:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T03:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"bearish_pressure_score": 0,
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},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T03:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T04:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T04:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T05:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
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"acceleration_score": 0,
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"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T07:00:00Z",
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"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T08:00:00Z",
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"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T09:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T10:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"net_sentiment_score": 0,
"velocity_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T10:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T11:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
"bullish_pressure_score": 0,
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"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-04-05T11:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-04-05T12:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 0,
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"contradiction_ratio": 0.0,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 0,
"conviction_score_0_100": 20,
"fragility_score_0_100": 78,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
}
]
},
"recent_half_hour_overlay": {
"enabled": false,
"resolution": "30m",
"lookback_hours": 6,
"buckets": []
},
"summary": {
"timeseries_peak_bullish": 0,
"timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
"latest_inflection_direction": "flat",
"latest_inflection_strength": 0,
"signal_regime": "mixed_flat"
}
},
"diagnostics": {
"conviction_policy_used": "mass_consensus",
"trends_seen": 0,
"trends_admitted": 0,
"cross_domain_merges": 0,
"stale_suppression_count": 0,
"reversal_flags_count": 0,
"late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
"kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
"strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 0,
"timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
"timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0,
"target_market_custom": false,
"target_market_unresolved": false,
"input_gate_degraded": true,
"notes": [
"workflow5b_output.workflow_5B_output missing (no trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics provided); forced neutral_mixed fallback per min_evidence_threshold and suppress_direction_if_degraded=true."
]
},
"completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}