Snapshot
- subject_area: Uranium futures
- target_market_code: uranium
- ticker: uranium
- regime_state: tightening
- beliefs_count: 3
- top_risk_flag: authority_light_vs_mass_consensus
- generated_at: 2026-03-28T12:00:00Z
- sentiment_word: Bullish
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market |
belief_id |
claim (trimmed) |
prob |
dir |
vel |
horizon |
kill_switch |
fragility |
| uranium |
B-URANIUM-001 |
Uranium futures have an upward bias over the next 24h as nuclear build/SMR policy narratives and energy-security support forward demand. |
68 |
up |
stable |
24h |
false |
41 |
| uranium |
B-URANIUM-002 |
Downside is buffered near-term by persistent supply-chain/geopolitical supply-risk framing, supporting a firmer floor/risk-premium. |
60 |
up |
fading |
24h |
false |
41 |
| uranium |
B-URANIUM-003 |
Over next 6h sentiment modestly constructive, more likely up than down, but gains may be incremental rather than breakout due to slow policy catalysts. |
60 |
up |
stable |
6h |
false |
41 |
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{
"workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
"snapshot_id": "6B-uranium-20260328T120000Z",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-03-28T12:00:00Z",
"primary_asset_focus": {
"name": "Uranium futures",
"market_code": "uranium"
},
"headline_sentiment_word": "Bullish",
"headline_conviction_score_0_100": 73,
"headline_fragility_score_0_100": 41,
"headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 58,
"commodity_registry": [
"crude_oil",
"gold",
"natural_gas",
"copper",
"silver",
"wheat",
"corn",
"uranium",
"lithium",
"coffee"
],
"target_market_code": "uranium",
"target_resolution_source": "explicit",
"scope_mode": "single_market",
"analyzed_markets": [
"uranium"
],
"regime_state": "tightening",
"beliefs": [
{
"belief_id": "B-URANIUM-001",
"market": "uranium",
"claim": "Uranium futures have an upward bias over the next 24h as nuclear build/SMR policy narratives and energy-security positioning remain broadly supportive of forward demand expectations.",
"probability_pct": 68,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "stable",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"reactor_demand",
"nuclear_policy",
"energy_security",
"nuclear_innovation"
],
"contradicted_by": [],
"directional_confidence_score_0_100": 74,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 58,
"authority_confirmation_band": "medium"
},
{
"belief_id": "B-URANIUM-002",
"market": "uranium",
"claim": "Uranium futures downside is partially buffered in the near term by persistent supply-chain/geopolitical supply-risk framing (supports a firmer floor/risk-premium).",
"probability_pct": 60,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "fading",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"geopolitical_supply_risk",
"uranium_supply_contracting",
"energy_security"
],
"contradicted_by": [],
"directional_confidence_score_0_100": 70,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 55,
"authority_confirmation_band": "medium"
},
{
"belief_id": "B-URANIUM-003",
"market": "uranium",
"claim": "Over the next 6h, sentiment remains modestly constructive (more likely up than down), but gains may be incremental rather than breakout given slow-velocity policy-driven catalysts.",
"probability_pct": 60,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "stable",
"horizon": "6h",
"drivers": [
"nuclear_policy",
"nuclear_innovation"
],
"contradicted_by": [],
"directional_confidence_score_0_100": 66,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 55,
"authority_confirmation_band": "medium"
}
],
"market_state_table": [
{
"market": "uranium",
"directional_state": "bullish",
"momentum_state": "strengthening",
"reversal_risk": "low",
"state_change": "unchanged",
"directional_mass_score_0_100": 84,
"conviction_score_0_100": 73,
"authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 58,
"authority_confirmation_band": "medium",
"freshness_confidence": "medium",
"catalyst_type": "fresh_directional",
"stale_suppression_applied": false,
"thesis_kill_switch": false,
"late_breaking_alert": false,
"fragility_score_0_100": 41,
"supporting_belief_ids": [
"B-URANIUM-001",
"B-URANIUM-002",
"B-URANIUM-003"
],
"source_tier_counts": {
"A": 131,
"B": 17,
"C": 24,
"D": 266,
"U": 0
},
"freshness_mix": {
"fresh_0_6h": 0,
"fresh_6_24h": 5,
"fresh_24_72h": 6,
"fresh_over_72h": 1
}
}
],
"risk_flags": [
{
"risk_flag_id": "RF-URANIUM-001",
"market": "uranium",
"flag": "authority_light_vs_mass_consensus",
"severity": "medium",
"rationale": "Directional mass is broad and fresh enough to carry conviction, but the source mix remains skewed toward lower-tier domains; treat the bullish thesis as more sentiment-driven than officially-confirmed."
},
{
"risk_flag_id": "RF-URANIUM-002",
"market": "uranium",
"flag": "slow_burn_policy_catalysts",
"severity": "low",
"rationale": "Key drivers are policy/regulatory and reactor deployment narratives with generally slow velocity; near-term momentum can stall without a discrete market-structural catalyst."
},
{
"risk_flag_id": "RF-URANIUM-003",
"market": "uranium",
"flag": "timeseries_bucket_sparsity",
"severity": "low",
"rationale": "Timeseries buckets are derived from available per-trend newest/peak timestamps rather than full per-record timestamp distributions, increasing uncertainty in intra-day shape."
}
],
"candidate_actions": [
{
"market": "uranium",
"confidence": "medium",
"action_label": "watch_long_bias",
"trigger_condition": "Maintain long-bias watch while directional mass remains positive and no fresh opposing cluster appears in the last 2h window."
},
{
"market": "uranium",
"confidence": "low",
"action_label": "volatility_watch",
"trigger_condition": "Escalate to volatility watch if a late-breaking opposing policy/supply headline cluster emerges (2+ independent signals within 2h) causing contradiction ratio to rise."
},
{
"market": "uranium",
"confidence": "low",
"action_label": "reversal_watch",
"trigger_condition": "Reversal watch if fresh counterevidence appears and directional_score_signed drops toward neutral (|score| < 20) alongside a contradiction spike."
}
],
"paper_trade_signal_pack": {
"bullish_markets": [
"uranium"
],
"bearish_markets": [],
"neutral_mixed_markets": [],
"high_reversal_risk_markets": []
},
"signal_timeseries": {
"resolution": "1h",
"lookback_hours": 24,
"bucket_timezone": "UTC",
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T12:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T13:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T13:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T14:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T14:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T15:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 45,
"bullish_pressure_score": 70,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 45,
"velocity_score": 10,
"acceleration_score": 10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 74,
"fragility_score_0_100": 38,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T15:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T16:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": -10,
"acceleration_score": -20,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T16:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T17:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T17:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T18:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 45,
"bullish_pressure_score": 72,
"bearish_pressure_score": 27,
"net_sentiment_score": 45,
"velocity_score": 10,
"acceleration_score": 10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 76,
"fragility_score_0_100": 36,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T18:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T19:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": -10,
"acceleration_score": -20,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T19:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T20:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T20:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T21:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T21:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T22:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T22:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-27T23:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-27T23:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T00:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T00:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T01:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T01:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T02:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 45,
"bullish_pressure_score": 70,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 45,
"velocity_score": 10,
"acceleration_score": 10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.06,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 74,
"fragility_score_0_100": 38,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T02:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T03:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": -10,
"acceleration_score": -20,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T03:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T04:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 10,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T04:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T05:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T05:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T06:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T06:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T07:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T07:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T08:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T08:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T09:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T09:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T10:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T10:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T11:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-28T11:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-28T12:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 35,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 25,
"net_sentiment_score": 35,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.08,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 10,
"conviction_score_0_100": 70,
"fragility_score_0_100": 42,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
}
]
},
"recent_half_hour_overlay": {
"enabled": false,
"resolution": "30m",
"lookback_hours": 6,
"buckets": []
},
"summary": {
"timeseries_peak_bullish": 45,
"timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
"latest_inflection_direction": "down",
"latest_inflection_strength": 10,
"signal_regime": "weakening_bullish"
},
"diagnostics": {
"conviction_policy_used": "mass_consensus",
"trends_seen": 12,
"trends_admitted": 12,
"cross_domain_merges": 3,
"stale_suppression_count": 0,
"reversal_flags_count": 0,
"late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
"kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
"strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 1,
"timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
"timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0,
"target_market_custom": false,
"target_market_unresolved": false,
"input_gate_degraded": false,
"notes": [
"No explicit counterevidence objects were provided in 5B contradictions/risk sets for uranium direction; counterevidence score treated as low.",
"Timeseries intra-day buckets use available per-trend newest/peak timestamps as allocation anchors; full per-record timestamp distribution not present in the gated payload.",
"Prior market state not provided; state_change emitted as unchanged (unknown_prior)."
]
},
"completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}
}