Snapshot
- subject_area: Brent crude oil futures
- target_market_code: crude_oil
- ticker: null
- regime_state: unstable
- beliefs_count: 0
- top_risk_flag: data_sparsity (high)
- generated_at: 2026-03-27T00:00:00Z
- sentiment_word: Mixed
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market | belief_id | claim | prob | dir | vel | horizon | kill_switch | fragility |
|---|
No admitted beliefs in this snapshot.
Data Dump (Machine Use) { "workflow_6B_CIS_output": { "snapshot_id": "6B-CIS-2026-03-27T00:00:00Z-crude_oil", "timestamp_utc": "2026-03-27T00:00:00Z", "primary_asset_focus": { "name": "Brent crude oil futures", "market_code": "crude_oil" }, "headline_sentiment_word": "Fragile", "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 20, "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 75, "headline_authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0, "commodity_registry": [ "crude_oil", "gold", "natural_gas", "copper", "silver", "wheat", "corn", "uranium", "lithium", "coffee" ], "target_market_code": "crude_oil", "target_resolution_source": "explicit", "scope_mode": "single_market", "analyzed_markets": [ "crude_oil" ], "regime_state": "unstable", "beliefs": [], "market_state_table": [ { "market": "crude_oil", "directional_state": "neutral_mixed", "momentum_state": "stable", "reversal_risk": "medium", "state_change": "unchanged", "directional_mass_score_0_100": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 20, "authority_confirmation_score_0_100": 0, "authority_confirmation_band": "low", "freshness_confidence": "low", "catalyst_type": "unclear", "stale_suppression_applied": false, "thesis_kill_switch": false, "late_breaking_alert": false, "fragility_score_0_100": 75, "supporting_belief_ids": [], "source_tier_counts": { "tier_a": 0, "tier_b": 0, "tier_c": 0, "unknown": 0 }, "freshness_mix": { "fresh_0_6h": 0, "fresh_6_24h": 0, "stale_24_72h": 0, "stale_gt_72h": 0 } } ], "risk_flags": [ { "flag": "data_sparsity", "market": "crude_oil", "severity": "high", "details": "workflow5B_output missing (no trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics provided); directional synthesis degraded and min_evidence_threshold cannot be satisfied." }, { "flag": "evidence_below_threshold", "market": "crude_oil", "severity": "high", "details": "Client lens requires min_evidence_threshold=3 and require_directional_conviction=true; suppressing directional call to neutral_mixed." } ], "candidate_actions": [ { "market": "crude_oil", "action": "stay_flat", "confidence": "high", "trigger_condition": "Admitted evidence count reaches threshold and directional_mass_score_0_100 moves beyond neutral band with acceptable contradiction ratio." }, { "market": "crude_oil", "action": "volatility_watch", "confidence": "medium", "trigger_condition": "New high-impact supply/geopolitical/inventory signals arrive within the last 6h (freshness dominance) creating a non-zero directional_score_signed." }, { "market": "crude_oil", "action": "reversal_watch", "confidence": "low", "trigger_condition": "A fresh (<=2h) opposing cluster appears after an established directional view is formed in subsequent cycles (late-breaking invalidation sentinel conditions)." } ], "paper_trade_signal_pack": { "bullish_markets": [], "bearish_markets": [], "neutral_mixed_markets": [ "crude_oil" ], "high_reversal_risk_markets": [] }, "signal_timeseries": { "resolution": "1h", "lookback_hours": 24, "bucket_timezone": "UTC", "buckets": [], "recent_half_hour_overlay": { "enabled": false, "resolution": "30m", "lookback_hours": 6, "buckets": [] }, "summary": { "timeseries_peak_bullish": 0, "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0, "latest_inflection_direction": "flat", "latest_inflection_strength": 0, "signal_regime": "mixed_flat" } }, "diagnostics": { "conviction_policy_used": "mass_consensus", "trends_seen": 0, "trends_admitted": 0, "cross_domain_merges": 0, "stale_suppression_count": 0, "reversal_flags_count": 0, "late_breaking_alerts_count": 0, "kill_switch_markets_count": 0, "strong_mass_low_authority_cycles": 0, "timeseries_bucket_count": 0, "timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0, "target_market_custom": false, "target_market_unresolved": false, "input_gate_degraded": true, "notes": [ "Mode guard passed (system_mode=commodities_trading).", "No workflow5B_output provided; cannot admit trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies; emitting neutral fallback per suppression policy.", "Signal timeseries omitted (0 buckets) because no timestamped admitted evidence was supplied to bucket." ] }, "completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B" } }