Snapshot

  • subject_area: Brent crude oil futures
  • target_market_code: crude_oil
  • ticker: BRN
  • regime_state: unstable
  • beliefs_count: 0
  • top_risk_flag: data_sparsity
  • generated_at: 2026-03-22 12:00 UTC
  • sentiment_word: Mixed
  • late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
  • kill_switch_markets_count: 0

Signal Table

market belief_id claim prob dir vel horizon kill_switch fragility

Data Dump (Machine Use)

{
 "workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
 "snapshot_id": "cis_20260322T120000Z_crude_oil_v1",
 "timestamp_utc": "2026-03-22T12:00:00Z",
 "primary_asset_focus": {
 "name": "Brent crude oil futures",
 "market_code": "crude_oil"
 },
 "headline_sentiment_word": "Mixed",
 "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 10,
 "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 85,
 "commodity_registry": [
 "crude_oil",
 "gold",
 "natural_gas",
 "copper",
 "silver",
 "wheat",
 "corn",
 "uranium",
 "lithium",
 "coffee"
 ],
 "target_market_code": "crude_oil",
 "target_resolution_source": "explicit",
 "scope_mode": "single_market",
 "analyzed_markets": [
 "crude_oil"
 ],
 "regime_state": "unstable",
 "beliefs": [],
 "market_state_table": [
 {
 "market": "crude_oil",
 "directional_state": "neutral_mixed",
 "momentum_state": "stable",
 "reversal_risk": "medium",
 "state_change": "unchanged",
 "conviction_score_0_100": 10,
 "freshness_confidence": "low",
 "catalyst_type": "unclear",
 "stale_suppression_applied": false,
 "thesis_kill_switch": false,
 "late_breaking_alert": false,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 85,
 "supporting_belief_ids": []
 }
 ],
 "risk_flags": [
 {
 "flag": "data_sparsity",
 "severity": "high",
 "markets": [
 "crude_oil"
 ],
 "detail": "No admitted trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies provided to workflow 6B; evidence below min threshold (3) so direction suppressed to neutral_mixed."
 },
 {
 "flag": "input_gate_degraded",
 "severity": "high",
 "markets": [
 "crude_oil"
 ],
 "detail": "Missing workflow5b_output.workflow_5B_output payload (trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies/aggregate_metrics); cannot compute physics-based conviction or timeseries buckets."
 }
 ],
 "candidate_actions": [
 {
 "market": "crude_oil",
 "confidence": "high",
 "action": "stay_flat",
 "trigger_condition": "Remain neutral until >= 3 fresh, directional, non-contradictory signals within the last 24h are available for crude_oil."
 },
 {
 "market": "crude_oil",
 "confidence": "medium",
 "action": "reversal_watch",
 "trigger_condition": "If new high-trust opposing signal arrives within <=2h against any emerging direction, treat as late-breaking invalidation and keep conviction capped."
 },
 {
 "market": "crude_oil",
 "confidence": "low",
 "action": "volatility_watch",
 "trigger_condition": "If multiple contradictory signals arrive within the same 6h window (contradiction spike), treat regime as unstable and keep fragility elevated."
 }
 ],
 "paper_trade_signal_pack": {
 "bullish_markets": [],
 "bearish_markets": [],
 "neutral_mixed_markets": [
 "crude_oil"
 ],
 "high_reversal_risk_markets": []
 },
 "signal_timeseries": {
 "resolution": "1h",
 "lookback_hours": 24,
 "bucket_timezone": "UTC",
 "buckets": [],
 "recent_half_hour_overlay": {
 "enabled": false,
 "resolution": "30m",
 "lookback_hours": 6,
 "buckets": []
 },
 "summary": {
 "timeseries_peak_bullish": 0,
 "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
 "latest_inflection_direction": "flat",
 "latest_inflection_strength": 0,
 "signal_regime": "mixed_flat"
 }
 },
 "diagnostics": {
 "trends_seen": 0,
 "trends_admitted": 0,
 "cross_domain_merges": 0,
 "stale_suppression_count": 0,
 "reversal_flags_count": 0,
 "late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
 "kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
 "timeseries_bucket_count": 0,
 "timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0,
 "target_market_custom": false,
 "target_market_unresolved": false,
 "input_gate_degraded": true,
 "notes": [
 "Target scope resolved explicitly: target_market_code=crude_oil (Brent crude oil futures, ticker BRN).",
 "workflow5b_output.workflow_5B_output not present in input; cannot admit any trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies.",
 "Ingested raw_news_feed shows count=500 but items list is empty in provided payload; no timestamped evidence can be bucketed.",
 "Min evidence threshold=3 and require_directional_conviction=true => forced neutral_mixed with low conviction and high fragility."
 ]
 },
 "completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
 }
}