Snapshot

  • subject_area: Corn futures
  • target_market_code: corn
  • ticker:
  • regime_state: unstable
  • beliefs_count: 0
  • top_risk_flag: data_sparsity (high)
  • generated_at: 2026-03-18 18:00 UTC
  • sentiment_word: Unstable
  • late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
  • kill_switch_markets_count: 0

Signal Table

market belief_id claim (trimmed) prob dir vel horizon kill_switch fragility

Data Dump (Machine Use) { "workflow_6B_CIS_output": { "snapshot_id": "6B_corn_2026-03-18T18:00:00Z", "timestamp_utc": "2026-03-18T18:00:00Z", "primary_asset_focus": { "name": "Corn futures", "market_code": "corn" }, "headline_sentiment_word": "Unstable", "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 10, "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 85, "commodity_registry": [ "crude_oil", "gold", "natural_gas", "copper", "silver", "wheat", "corn", "uranium", "lithium", "coffee" ], "target_market_code": "corn", "target_resolution_source": "explicit", "scope_mode": "single_market", "analyzed_markets": [ "corn" ], "regime_state": "unstable", "beliefs": [], "market_state_table": [ { "market": "corn", "directional_state": "neutral_mixed", "momentum_state": "stable", "reversal_risk": "medium", "state_change": "unchanged", "conviction_score_0_100": 10, "freshness_confidence": "low", "catalyst_type": "unclear", "stale_suppression_applied": false, "thesis_kill_switch": false, "late_breaking_alert": false, "fragility_score_0_100": 85, "supporting_belief_ids": [] } ], "risk_flags": [ { "flag": "data_sparsity", "severity": "high", "market": "corn", "details": "workflow_5B_output missing (no trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies provided) so directional synthesis is degraded." }, { "flag": "input_gate_degraded", "severity": "high", "market": "corn", "details": "No admitted directional evidence available; outputs default to neutral/unstable with low conviction." } ], "candidate_actions": [ { "market": "corn", "action": "stay_flat", "confidence": "high", "trigger_condition": "Remain until at least one fresh (<=24h) directional trend signal is available with non-trivial consensus." }, { "market": "corn", "action": "volatility_watch", "confidence": "medium", "trigger_condition": "Escalate if contradiction rises or any late-breaking (<=2h) high-trust opposing signal appears once trend feed is present." }, { "market": "corn", "action": "hard_de_risk_watch", "confidence": "medium", "trigger_condition": "If new signals arrive but are thin (fresh_evidence_count low) and mixed, treat any directional stance as fragile." } ], "paper_trade_signal_pack": { "bullish_markets": [], "bearish_markets": [], "neutral_mixed_markets": [ "corn" ], "high_reversal_risk_markets": [] }, "signal_timeseries": { "resolution": "1h", "lookback_hours": 24, "bucket_timezone": "UTC", "buckets": [ { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T18:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T19:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T19:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T20:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T20:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T21:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T21:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T22:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T22:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T23:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T23:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T00:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T00:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T01:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T01:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T02:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T02:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T03:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T03:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T04:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T04:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T05:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T05:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T06:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T06:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T07:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T07:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T08:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T08:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T09:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T09:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T10:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T10:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T11:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T11:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T12:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T12:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T13:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T13:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T14:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T14:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T15:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T15:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T16:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T16:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T17:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" }, { "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T17:00:00Z", "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T18:00:00Z", "directional_score_signed": 0, "bullish_pressure_score": 0, "bearish_pressure_score": 0, "net_sentiment_score": 0, "velocity_score": 0, "acceleration_score": 0, "contradiction_ratio": 0, "fresh_evidence_count": 0, "stale_evidence_count": 0, "conviction_score_0_100": 0, "fragility_score_0_100": 90, "dominant_state": "neutral_mixed" } ] }, "recent_half_hour_overlay": { "enabled": false, "resolution": "30m", "lookback_hours": 6, "buckets": [] }, "summary": { "timeseries_peak_bullish": 0, "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0, "latest_inflection_direction": "flat", "latest_inflection_strength": 0, "signal_regime": "mixed_flat" } }, "diagnostics": { "trends_seen": 0, "trends_admitted": 0, "cross_domain_merges": 0, "stale_suppression_count": 0, "reversal_flags_count": 0, "late_breaking_alerts_count": 0, "kill_switch_markets_count": 0, "timeseries_bucket_count": 24, "timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 0, "target_market_custom": false, "target_market_unresolved": false, "input_gate_degraded": true, "notes": [ "workflow5b_output not provided: no trend_physics/trend_state_memory/trends/vip_outliers/risk_anomalies available for admission.", "Ingested news items present but not mapped/validated into workflow5B trend objects; 6B kept them as non-admitted context.", "Timeseries buckets emitted as neutral placeholders (0 directional score) with high fragility due to evidence sparsity." ] }, "completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B" }