Snapshot
- subject_area: Copper futures
- target_market_code: copper
- ticker:
- regime_state: tightening
- beliefs_count: 3
- top_risk_flag: two_sided_supply_narrative
- generated_at: 2026-03-18T06:45:00Z
- sentiment_word: Bullish
- late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
- kill_switch_markets_count: 0
Signal Table
| market |
belief_id |
claim |
prob |
dir |
vel |
horizon |
kill_switch |
fragility |
| copper |
B-copper-001 |
Copper futures skew upward as near-term demand narratives (grid modernisation + electrification) remain reinforced; supply news adds uncertainty. |
63 |
up |
accelerating |
6h |
false |
58 |
| copper |
B-copper-002 |
Over the next 24h, the bias remains mildly bullish but more headline-fragile: trade/legal policy noise can compress the copper risk premium. |
58 |
up |
stable |
24h |
false |
58 |
| copper |
B-copper-003 |
Reversal risk is meaningful: a fresh escalation in trade/legal policy constraints or risk-off macro impulse could pull copper futures lower despite structural narratives. |
42 |
down |
fading |
24h |
false |
58 |
Data Dump (Machine Use)
{
"workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
"snapshot_id": "6B-20260318-copper-064500Z",
"timestamp_utc": "2026-03-18T06:45:00Z",
"primary_asset_focus": {
"name": "Copper futures",
"market_code": "copper"
},
"headline_sentiment_word": "Bullish",
"headline_conviction_score_0_100": 62,
"headline_fragility_score_0_100": 58,
"commodity_registry": [
"crude_oil",
"gold",
"natural_gas",
"copper",
"silver",
"wheat",
"corn",
"uranium",
"lithium",
"coffee"
],
"target_market_code": "copper",
"target_resolution_source": "explicit",
"scope_mode": "single_market",
"analyzed_markets": [
"copper"
],
"regime_state": "tightening",
"beliefs": [
{
"belief_id": "B-copper-001",
"market": "copper",
"claim": "Copper futures skew upward as near-term demand narratives (grid modernisation + electrification) remain reinforced, while supply-side project news adds uncertainty rather than immediate relief.",
"probability_pct": 63,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "accelerating",
"horizon": "6h",
"drivers": [
"industrial_demand: electrification (EV buses, grid buildout) supportive demand impulse",
"china_policy / industrial policy: policy-linked infrastructure tone supportive to metals complex",
"mine_supply: project and disruption headlines increase supply uncertainty premium",
"inventory: implied sensitivity to supply narrative (no direct inventory datapoint provided)"
],
"contradicted_by": [
"B-copper-003"
]
},
{
"belief_id": "B-copper-002",
"market": "copper",
"claim": "Over the next 24h, the bias remains mildly bullish but more headline-fragile: trade/legal policy noise can quickly shift risk appetite and compress the copper risk premium.",
"probability_pct": 58,
"direction": "up",
"velocity": "stable",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"usd_strength: risk-off / policy uncertainty channel (proxy via trade-policy/legal anomaly)",
"china_policy: sensitivity to policy headlines remains elevated",
"mine_supply: mix of long-lead supply additions vs disruption risk keeps two-sided tape"
],
"contradicted_by": [
"B-copper-003"
]
},
{
"belief_id": "B-copper-003",
"market": "copper",
"claim": "Reversal risk is meaningful: a fresh escalation in trade/legal policy constraints or risk-off macro impulse could pull copper futures lower despite supportive structural narratives.",
"probability_pct": 42,
"direction": "down",
"velocity": "fading",
"horizon": "24h",
"drivers": [
"trade_policy: US trade-policy complex and legal uncertainty channel",
"risk_anomaly: US Supreme Court / trade-policy compliance-gap seed (low-confidence but very recent)",
"supply: resolution of supply constraints (project approvals / M&A) reduces scarcity premium"
],
"contradicted_by": [
"B-copper-001",
"B-copper-002"
]
}
],
"market_state_table": [
{
"market": "copper",
"directional_state": "bullish",
"momentum_state": "strengthening",
"reversal_risk": "medium",
"state_change": "new_bullish",
"conviction_score_0_100": 62,
"freshness_confidence": "medium",
"catalyst_type": "fresh_directional",
"stale_suppression_applied": false,
"thesis_kill_switch": false,
"late_breaking_alert": false,
"fragility_score_0_100": 58,
"supporting_belief_ids": [
"B-copper-001",
"B-copper-002",
"B-copper-003"
]
}
],
"risk_flags": [
{
"flag": "two_sided_supply_narrative",
"severity": "medium",
"note": "Supply narrative contains both potential long-lead additions (project progress) and disruption/constraint risk; can create whipsaw around headlines."
},
{
"flag": "policy_trade_headline_sensitivity",
"severity": "medium",
"note": "Trade-policy complex remains a meaningful short-horizon reversal channel for copper risk appetite."
},
{
"flag": "authority_mix_skew_lower_tier",
"severity": "medium",
"note": "Several clusters show high reinforcement but a meaningful low-authority share; conviction capped."
},
{
"flag": "data_sparsity_intraday",
"severity": "low",
"note": "Intraday bucketisation uses limited timestamped evidence items; timeseries is conservative."
}
],
"candidate_actions": [
{
"market": "copper",
"action": "watch_long_bias",
"confidence": "medium",
"trigger_condition": "If supportive electrification/infrastructure headlines persist without a new high-authority bearish macro/trade shock in the next 6\u201324h."
},
{
"market": "copper",
"action": "reversal_watch",
"confidence": "medium",
"trigger_condition": "If a fresh, high-authority trade/legal escalation headline arrives (<=2h) and is echoed across multiple sources (contradiction rises)."
},
{
"market": "copper",
"action": "volatility_watch",
"confidence": "low",
"trigger_condition": "If simultaneous supply-addition and supply-disruption headlines hit within the same session, increasing narrative contradiction."
},
{
"market": "copper",
"action": "stay_flat",
"confidence": "low",
"trigger_condition": "If signals remain mixed and recency-weighted directional score reverts into the neutral band (between -20 and +20)."
}
],
"paper_trade_signal_pack": {
"bullish_markets": [
{
"market": "copper",
"conviction_score_0_100": 62
}
],
"bearish_markets": [],
"neutral_mixed_markets": [],
"high_reversal_risk_markets": []
},
"signal_timeseries": {
"resolution": "1h",
"lookback_hours": 24,
"bucket_timezone": "UTC",
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T06:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T07:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 8,
"bullish_pressure_score": 34,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 8,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.22,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 3,
"conviction_score_0_100": 32,
"fragility_score_0_100": 60,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T07:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T08:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 8,
"bullish_pressure_score": 34,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 8,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.22,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 3,
"conviction_score_0_100": 32,
"fragility_score_0_100": 60,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T08:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T09:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 9,
"bullish_pressure_score": 35,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 9,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.22,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 3,
"conviction_score_0_100": 33,
"fragility_score_0_100": 60,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T09:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T10:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 10,
"bullish_pressure_score": 36,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 10,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.23,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 34,
"fragility_score_0_100": 59,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T10:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T11:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 11,
"bullish_pressure_score": 37,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 11,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.23,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 35,
"fragility_score_0_100": 59,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T11:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T12:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 12,
"bullish_pressure_score": 38,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 12,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.23,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 35,
"fragility_score_0_100": 58,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T12:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T13:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 13,
"bullish_pressure_score": 39,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 13,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.24,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 36,
"fragility_score_0_100": 58,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T13:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T14:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 14,
"bullish_pressure_score": 40,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 14,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.24,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 36,
"fragility_score_0_100": 58,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T14:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T15:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 15,
"bullish_pressure_score": 41,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 15,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.24,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 37,
"fragility_score_0_100": 57,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T15:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T16:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 16,
"bullish_pressure_score": 42,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 16,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.25,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 38,
"fragility_score_0_100": 57,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T16:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T17:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 17,
"bullish_pressure_score": 43,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 17,
"velocity_score": 1,
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"contradiction_ratio": 0.25,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 38,
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"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T17:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T18:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 18,
"bullish_pressure_score": 44,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 18,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.25,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 39,
"fragility_score_0_100": 56,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T18:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T19:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 19,
"bullish_pressure_score": 45,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 19,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.26,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 40,
"fragility_score_0_100": 56,
"dominant_state": "neutral_mixed"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T19:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T20:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 20,
"bullish_pressure_score": 46,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 20,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.26,
"fresh_evidence_count": 0,
"stale_evidence_count": 2,
"conviction_score_0_100": 41,
"fragility_score_0_100": 56,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T20:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T21:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 22,
"bullish_pressure_score": 48,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
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"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 43,
"fragility_score_0_100": 55,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T21:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T22:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 24,
"bullish_pressure_score": 50,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 24,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.27,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 45,
"fragility_score_0_100": 54,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T22:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-17T23:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 26,
"bullish_pressure_score": 52,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 26,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.27,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 47,
"fragility_score_0_100": 53,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-17T23:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T00:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 28,
"bullish_pressure_score": 54,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 28,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.28,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 49,
"fragility_score_0_100": 52,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T00:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T01:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 30,
"bullish_pressure_score": 56,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 30,
"velocity_score": 2,
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"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 51,
"fragility_score_0_100": 51,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T01:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T02:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 32,
"bullish_pressure_score": 58,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 32,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.29,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 53,
"fragility_score_0_100": 50,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T02:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T03:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 34,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 34,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.3,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 55,
"fragility_score_0_100": 49,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T03:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T04:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 38,
"bullish_pressure_score": 64,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 38,
"velocity_score": 4,
"acceleration_score": 2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.31,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 58,
"fragility_score_0_100": 48,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T04:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T05:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 44,
"bullish_pressure_score": 70,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 44,
"velocity_score": 6,
"acceleration_score": 2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.32,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 62,
"fragility_score_0_100": 47,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T05:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T06:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 46,
"bullish_pressure_score": 72,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 46,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": -4,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.35,
"fresh_evidence_count": 4,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"fragility_score_0_100": 55,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
}
]
},
"recent_half_hour_overlay": {
"enabled": true,
"resolution": "30m",
"lookback_hours": 6,
"buckets": [
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T00:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T00:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 29,
"bullish_pressure_score": 55,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 29,
"velocity_score": 0,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.28,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 50,
"fragility_score_0_100": 52,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T00:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T01:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 30,
"bullish_pressure_score": 56,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 30,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.29,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 51,
"fragility_score_0_100": 51,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T01:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T01:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 31,
"bullish_pressure_score": 57,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 31,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.29,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 52,
"fragility_score_0_100": 50,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T01:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T02:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 32,
"bullish_pressure_score": 58,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 32,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.29,
"fresh_evidence_count": 1,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 53,
"fragility_score_0_100": 50,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T02:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T02:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 33,
"bullish_pressure_score": 59,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 33,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.3,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 54,
"fragility_score_0_100": 49,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T02:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T03:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 34,
"bullish_pressure_score": 60,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 34,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.3,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 55,
"fragility_score_0_100": 49,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T03:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T03:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 36,
"bullish_pressure_score": 62,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 36,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.31,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 57,
"fragility_score_0_100": 48,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T03:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T04:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 38,
"bullish_pressure_score": 64,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 38,
"velocity_score": 2,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.31,
"fresh_evidence_count": 2,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 58,
"fragility_score_0_100": 48,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T04:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T04:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 41,
"bullish_pressure_score": 67,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 41,
"velocity_score": 3,
"acceleration_score": 1,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.32,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 60,
"fragility_score_0_100": 47,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T04:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T05:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 44,
"bullish_pressure_score": 70,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 44,
"velocity_score": 3,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.32,
"fresh_evidence_count": 3,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 62,
"fragility_score_0_100": 47,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T05:00:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T05:30:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 45,
"bullish_pressure_score": 71,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 45,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": -2,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.34,
"fresh_evidence_count": 4,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"fragility_score_0_100": 53,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
},
{
"bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-18T05:30:00Z",
"bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-18T06:00:00Z",
"directional_score_signed": 46,
"bullish_pressure_score": 72,
"bearish_pressure_score": 26,
"net_sentiment_score": 46,
"velocity_score": 1,
"acceleration_score": 0,
"contradiction_ratio": 0.35,
"fresh_evidence_count": 4,
"stale_evidence_count": 1,
"conviction_score_0_100": 61,
"fragility_score_0_100": 55,
"dominant_state": "bullish"
}
]
},
"summary": {
"timeseries_peak_bullish": 46,
"timeseries_peak_bearish": -2,
"latest_inflection_direction": "up",
"latest_inflection_strength": 12,
"signal_regime": "strengthening_bullish"
}
},
"diagnostics": {
"trends_seen": 12,
"trends_admitted": 10,
"cross_domain_merges": 3,
"stale_suppression_count": 0,
"reversal_flags_count": 1,
"late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
"kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
"timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
"timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 12,
"target_market_custom": false,
"target_market_unresolved": false,
"input_gate_degraded": false,
"notes": [
"Target market resolved explicitly as copper.",
"No explicit contradiction objects provided; contradiction_ratio is conservative proxy derived from mixed policy/supply narratives and risk anomalies.",
"Freshness emphasis: multiple items timestamped within 0\u20136h (2026-03-18T04:53Z to 2026-03-18T06:30Z) raise near-term momentum.",
"No trend_state_memory provided; state_change set as new_bullish (unknown prior)."
]
},
"completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}