Snapshot

  • subject_area: Copper futures (HG)
  • target_market_code: copper
  • ticker: ""
  • regime_state: tightening
  • beliefs_count: 3
  • top_risk_flag: stale_context_overhang
  • generated_at: 2026-03-15T14:30:00Z
  • sentiment_word: Bullish
  • late_breaking_alerts_count: 0
  • kill_switch_markets_count: 0

Signal Table

market belief_id claim prob dir vel horizon kill_switch fragility
copper B1_demand_pull_grid_ev Near-term demand narrative remains supportive (grid modernisation, renewables rollout, EV/charging build-out), keeping bias upward over the next 6–24h absent a macro shock. 60 up accelerating 24h false 55
copper B2_supply_tightness_deficit Supply-side tightness/deficit framing (mine disruptions + structural deficit talk) continues to act as a floor under sentiment, supporting upside continuation risk. 58 up stable 24h false 55
copper B3_trade_policy_volatility_cap Trade-policy uncertainty (US trade investigations / USTR-related narrative) raises volatility and can intermittently cap bullish continuation even if the medium-term story is constructive. 55 mixed accelerating 6h false 55

Data Dump (Machine Use)

{
 "workflow_6B_CIS_output": {
 "snapshot_id": "cis_20260315_copper_001",
 "timestamp_utc": "2026-03-15T14:30:00Z",
 "primary_asset_focus": {
 "name": "Copper futures (HG)",
 "market_code": "copper"
 },
 "headline_sentiment_word": "Bullish",
 "headline_conviction_score_0_100": 68,
 "headline_fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "commodity_registry": [
 "crude_oil",
 "gold",
 "natural_gas",
 "copper",
 "silver",
 "wheat",
 "corn",
 "uranium",
 "lithium",
 "coffee"
 ],
 "target_market_code": "copper",
 "target_resolution_source": "explicit",
 "scope_mode": "single_market",
 "analyzed_markets": [
 "copper"
 ],
 "regime_state": "tightening",
 "beliefs": [
 {
 "belief_id": "B1_demand_pull_grid_ev",
 "market": "copper",
 "claim": "Near-term demand narrative remains supportive (grid modernisation, renewables rollout, EV/charging build-out), keeping bias upward over the next 6\u201324h absent a macro shock.",
 "probability_pct": 60,
 "direction": "up",
 "velocity": "accelerating",
 "horizon": "24h",
 "drivers": [
 "industrial_demand",
 "energy_transition",
 "electric_grid_capex",
 "china_policy_support"
 ],
 "contradicted_by": []
 },
 {
 "belief_id": "B2_supply_tightness_deficit",
 "market": "copper",
 "claim": "Supply-side tightness/deficit framing (mine disruptions + structural deficit talk) continues to act as a floor under sentiment, supporting upside continuation risk.",
 "probability_pct": 58,
 "direction": "up",
 "velocity": "stable",
 "horizon": "24h",
 "drivers": [
 "mine_supply",
 "disruption_risk",
 "inventory_tightness"
 ],
 "contradicted_by": []
 },
 {
 "belief_id": "B3_trade_policy_volatility_cap",
 "market": "copper",
 "claim": "Trade-policy uncertainty (US trade investigations / USTR-related narrative) raises volatility and can intermittently cap bullish continuation even if the medium-term story is constructive.",
 "probability_pct": 55,
 "direction": "mixed",
 "velocity": "accelerating",
 "horizon": "6h",
 "drivers": [
 "macro_policy_risk",
 "usd_strength",
 "risk_sentiment_shocks"
 ],
 "contradicted_by": []
 }
 ],
 "market_state_table": [
 {
 "market": "copper",
 "directional_state": "bullish",
 "momentum_state": "strengthening",
 "reversal_risk": "medium",
 "state_change": "new_bullish",
 "conviction_score_0_100": 68,
 "freshness_confidence": "medium",
 "catalyst_type": "fresh_directional",
 "stale_suppression_applied": true,
 "thesis_kill_switch": false,
 "late_breaking_alert": false,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "supporting_belief_ids": [
 "B1_demand_pull_grid_ev",
 "B2_supply_tightness_deficit",
 "B3_trade_policy_volatility_cap"
 ]
 }
 ],
 "risk_flags": [
 {
 "risk_flag_id": "RF_stale_context_overhang",
 "market": "copper",
 "severity": "medium",
 "label": "stale_context_overhang",
 "rationale": "A meaningful share of the supportive narrative appears slow-burn (multi-week themes). Recency-weighting reduces its dominance; momentum relies on fewer recent catalysts."
 },
 {
 "risk_flag_id": "RF_policy_macro_whipsaw",
 "market": "copper",
 "severity": "medium",
 "label": "narrative_whipsaw_risk",
 "rationale": "Trade-policy headlines can quickly flip risk sentiment and USD expectations, increasing intraday reversal risk even with a bullish base case."
 },
 {
 "risk_flag_id": "RF_low_authority_mix",
 "market": "copper",
 "severity": "low",
 "label": "source_quality_dilution",
 "rationale": "Several trend bundles indicate high low-authority share / singletons; conviction is capped accordingly."
 }
 ],
 "candidate_actions": [
 {
 "market": "copper",
 "action": "watch_long_bias",
 "confidence": "medium",
 "trigger_condition": "If fresh (<=24h) demand-side confirmations continue without a meaningful macro/trade-policy shock signal."
 },
 {
 "market": "copper",
 "action": "reversal_watch",
 "confidence": "medium",
 "trigger_condition": "If a fresh opposing macro impulse arrives (e.g., abrupt USD-strength risk-off or trade escalation) and contradiction rises materially within a 2\u20136h window."
 },
 {
 "market": "copper",
 "action": "volatility_watch",
 "confidence": "medium",
 "trigger_condition": "If policy/trade headlines cluster and short-horizon sentiment velocity spikes while conviction fails to rise."
 },
 {
 "market": "copper",
 "action": "stay_flat",
 "confidence": "low",
 "trigger_condition": "If supportive catalysts go quiet and the net directional score drifts back toward neutral (|score| < 20) with rising fragility."
 }
 ],
 "paper_trade_signal_pack": {
 "bullish_markets": [
 "copper"
 ],
 "bearish_markets": [],
 "neutral_mixed_markets": [],
 "high_reversal_risk_markets": []
 },
 "signal_timeseries": {
 "resolution": "1h",
 "lookback_hours": 24,
 "bucket_timezone": "UTC",
 "buckets": [
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T14:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T15:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 28,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 58,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 28,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 48,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 60,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T15:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T16:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 29,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 59,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 29,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 49,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 60,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T16:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T17:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 30,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 60,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 30,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 49,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 59,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T17:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T18:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 31,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 61,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 31,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 50,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 59,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T18:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T19:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 32,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 62,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 32,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 50,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 59,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T19:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T20:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 33,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 63,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 33,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 51,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 58,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T20:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T21:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 34,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 64,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 34,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 51,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 58,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T21:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T22:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 35,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 65,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 35,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 52,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 58,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T22:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-14T23:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 36,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 66,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 36,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 52,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 58,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-14T23:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T00:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 37,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 67,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 37,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 53,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 58,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T00:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T01:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 38,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 68,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 38,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 54,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 58,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T01:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T02:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 39,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 69,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 39,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 2,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 55,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 57,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T02:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T03:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 40,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 70,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 40,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 2,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 56,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 57,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T03:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T04:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 41,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 71,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 41,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 2,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 57,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 57,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T04:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T05:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 42,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 72,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 30,
 "net_sentiment_score": 42,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.14,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 2,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 58,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 57,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T05:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T06:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 44,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 73,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 29,
 "net_sentiment_score": 44,
 "velocity_score": 2,
 "acceleration_score": 1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 2,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 60,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 56,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T06:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T07:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 46,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 74,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 28,
 "net_sentiment_score": 46,
 "velocity_score": 2,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 2,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 62,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 56,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T07:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T08:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 47,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 75,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 28,
 "net_sentiment_score": 47,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": -1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 2,
 "stale_evidence_count": 3,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 63,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 56,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T08:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T09:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 49,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 76,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 27,
 "net_sentiment_score": 49,
 "velocity_score": 2,
 "acceleration_score": 1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 3,
 "stale_evidence_count": 2,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 65,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T09:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T10:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 51,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 77,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 51,
 "velocity_score": 2,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 3,
 "stale_evidence_count": 2,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 66,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T10:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T11:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 52,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 78,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 52,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": -1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 3,
 "stale_evidence_count": 2,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 67,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T11:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T12:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 53,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 79,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 53,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 3,
 "stale_evidence_count": 2,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 67,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T12:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T13:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 54,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 80,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 54,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 3,
 "stale_evidence_count": 2,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 68,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T13:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T14:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 55,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 80,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 25,
 "net_sentiment_score": 55,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 3,
 "stale_evidence_count": 2,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 68,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 }
 ]
 },
 "recent_half_hour_overlay": {
 "enabled": true,
 "resolution": "30m",
 "lookback_hours": 6,
 "buckets": [
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T08:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T09:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 49,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 76,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 27,
 "net_sentiment_score": 49,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 64,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 56,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T09:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T09:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 50,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 76,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 50,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 65,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 56,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T09:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T10:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 51,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 77,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 51,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 0,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 66,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T10:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T10:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 51,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 77,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 51,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": -1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 66,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T10:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T11:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 52,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 78,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 52,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 67,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T11:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T11:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 52,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 78,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 52,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": -1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 67,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T11:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T12:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 53,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 79,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 53,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 67,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T12:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T12:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 53,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 79,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 53,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": -1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 67,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T12:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T13:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 54,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 80,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 54,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 68,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T13:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T13:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 54,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 80,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 26,
 "net_sentiment_score": 54,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": -1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 68,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T13:30:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T14:00:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 55,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 80,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 25,
 "net_sentiment_score": 55,
 "velocity_score": 1,
 "acceleration_score": 1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 68,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 },
 {
 "bucket_start_utc": "2026-03-15T14:00:00Z",
 "bucket_end_utc": "2026-03-15T14:30:00Z",
 "directional_score_signed": 55,
 "bullish_pressure_score": 80,
 "bearish_pressure_score": 25,
 "net_sentiment_score": 55,
 "velocity_score": 0,
 "acceleration_score": -1,
 "contradiction_ratio": 0.15,
 "fresh_evidence_count": 1,
 "stale_evidence_count": 1,
 "conviction_score_0_100": 68,
 "fragility_score_0_100": 55,
 "dominant_state": "bullish"
 }
 ]
 },
 "summary": {
 "timeseries_peak_bullish": 55,
 "timeseries_peak_bearish": 0,
 "latest_inflection_direction": "up",
 "latest_inflection_strength": 1,
 "signal_regime": "strengthening_bullish"
 }
 },
 "diagnostics": {
 "trends_seen": 12,
 "trends_admitted": 12,
 "cross_domain_merges": 3,
 "stale_suppression_count": 3,
 "reversal_flags_count": 1,
 "late_breaking_alerts_count": 0,
 "kill_switch_markets_count": 0,
 "timeseries_bucket_count": 24,
 "timeseries_overlay_bucket_count": 12,
 "target_market_custom": false,
 "target_market_unresolved": false,
 "input_gate_degraded": false,
 "notes": [
 "No explicit per-trend physics (acceleration/velocity/contradiction deltas) provided; used conservative heuristic mapping from recency proxies, consistency_score, and authority-mix indicators.",
 "No prior market_state_table / trend_state_memory provided; state_change computed versus an assumed neutral prior (unknown_prior fallback)."
 ]
 },
 "completion_state": "ready_for_workflow_8B"
}